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Buffalo Sabres vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 22, 2026.

March 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

95:22 together · 10 games

xG share66.7%
Corsi for / against
95 / 78
Fenwick for / against
77 / 55
Corsi share
54.9%
Fenwick share
58.3%
xG for / against
6.51 / 3.25
Defense pair

118:21 together · 10 games

xG share49.9%
Corsi for / against
115 / 81
Fenwick for / against
87 / 62
Corsi share
58.7%
Fenwick share
58.4%
xG for / against
4.96 / 4.98
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

64:07 together · 10 games

xG share53.5%
Corsi for / against
86 / 60
Fenwick for / against
66 / 47
Corsi share
58.9%
Fenwick share
58.4%
xG for / against
3.68 / 3.20
Defense pair

128:05 together · 10 games

xG share45.1%
Corsi for / against
110 / 123
Fenwick for / against
79 / 95
Corsi share
47.2%
Fenwick share
45.4%
xG for / against
5.56 / 6.76
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Mar 21

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
91.9
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
34.1

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Mar 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
89.8
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
34.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

xG for / game
3.20
xG against / game
2.89
xG differential / game
0.31

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.28
xG against / game
3.67
xG differential / game
-0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.9
Corsi share (%)
51.9
Fenwick share (%)
52.7
Faceoff win %
49.2
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.0
Corsi share (%)
50.2
Fenwick share (%)
49.6
Faceoff win %
50.5
Penalties / game
5.2

Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
13Points11
0.542Points %0.458
33Goals for37
41Goals against43
-8Goal differential-6
W1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Buffalo Sabres BUF road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
6Games5
2Wins1
7Points3
-3Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
4-3-3Record3-6-1
11Points7
26Goals for30
32Goals against38
-6Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Buffalo Sabres BUF 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 4 wins
Total goals35 – 29
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game3.5 / 2.9
Shots per game33.8 / 27.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 10, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 5 34 - 32 View
Feb 25, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 3 18 - 37 View
Nov 22, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 2 32 - 24 View
Feb 19, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
4 - 3 14 - 37 View
Jan 23, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 4 30 - 36 View
Feb 15, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
7 - 3 44 - 22 View
Jan 21, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 6 37 - 39 View
Dec 7, 2021
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 0 23 - 25 View
Oct 28, 2021
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 3 29 - 37 View
Feb 9, 2020
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 2 28 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.