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Boston Bruins vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 22, 2027

NHL matchup

Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 22, 2027.

January 22, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Boston Bruins

9-2-1

38.1%
at
Home

Vegas Golden Knights

8-4-1

61.9% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Vegas Golden Knights at 61.9%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vegas Golden Knights logo
Home team

Vegas Golden Knights

61.9%
Fair American -162
Fair decimal 1.62
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 22, 2027.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
3.03
ROI
37.9%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
0.79
ROI
11.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
6
Record
6-0
Net units
4.68
ROI
78.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

113:24 together · 9 games

xG share48.5%
Corsi for / against
96 / 122
Fenwick for / against
70 / 81
Corsi share
44.0%
Fenwick share
46.4%
xG for / against
5.44 / 5.77
All observed combinations

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

107:16 together · 10 games

xG share64.5%
Corsi for / against
113 / 85
Fenwick for / against
83 / 58
Corsi share
57.1%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
5.90 / 3.25
Defense pair

154:42 together · 10 games

xG share64.6%
Corsi for / against
179 / 132
Fenwick for / against
132 / 93
Corsi share
57.6%
Fenwick share
58.7%
xG for / against
9.12 / 5.00
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
32.8

Carter Hart

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.30
xG against / game
3.04
xG differential / game
0.27

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.32
xG against / game
2.74
xG differential / game
0.58

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.2
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
48.4
Faceoff win %
54.0
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 15.6% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.3
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
52.4
Faceoff win %
49.4
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 29.3 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
19Points17
0.792Points %0.654
48Goals for47
26Goals against38
22Goal differential9
W2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Boston Bruins BOS road
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK home
6Games7
4Wins5
9Points10
5Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
7-2-1Record6-3-1
15Points13
41Goals for36
23Goals against30
18Goal differential6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Boston Bruins BOS 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Vegas Golden Knights VGK 6 wins
Total goals31 – 35
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game3.1 / 3.5
Shots per game29.0 / 31.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 22, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 33 - 28 View
Oct 16, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 6 24 - 37 View
Mar 20, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 5 19 - 32 View
Feb 8, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 3 38 - 24 View
Feb 29, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 5 36 - 32 View
Jan 11, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 2 33 - 25 View
Dec 11, 2022
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 1 27 - 31 View
Dec 5, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 3 24 - 43 View
Mar 3, 2022
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 2 36 - 36 View
Dec 14, 2021
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 1 25 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings BOS VGK