Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 4, 2026.

April 4, 2026 · 4:00 PM CST
Away

Boston Bruins

45-27-10
at
Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

50-26-6
Model favourite Tampa Bay Lightning at 63.4%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Boston Bruins logo
Away team

Boston Bruins

36.6%
Fair American +173
Fair decimal 2.73
Best market +158 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 38.8%
Edge -2.2%
Expected value -5.6%
Calculate value
Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Home team

Tampa Bay Lightning

63.4%
Fair American -173
Fair decimal 1.58
Best market -180 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 64.3%
Edge -0.9%
Expected value -1.4%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
100Points106
0.610Points %0.646
272Goals for290
250Goals against231
22Goal differential59
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Boston Bruins BOS road
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL home
41Games41
16Wins26
41Points53
-18Goal differential22
Last 10 games
Boston Bruins BOS
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
5-3-2Record5-5-0
12Points10
32Goals for26
26Goals against30
6Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Boston Bruins BOS 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 7 wins
Total goals35 – 36
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game3.5 / 3.6
Shots per game27.1 / 33.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 1, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
5 - 6 34 - 46 View
Oct 13, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 3 23 - 33 View
Mar 15, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
6 - 2 40 - 12 View
Mar 8, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 0 25 - 25 View
Jan 14, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 6 45 - 24 View
Jan 9, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 4 28 - 31 View
Mar 27, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 3 24 - 31 View
Feb 13, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 2 25 - 38 View
Jan 6, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 7 26 - 26 View
Nov 20, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 5 27 - 47 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings BOS TBL