Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 4, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning matchup on April 4, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 63.4% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(63.4%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
April 4, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Boston Bruins
36.6%
Fair American: +173
Fair Decimal: 2.73
Best Market: +158 · BetOnline.ag
Market Implied: 38.8%
Edge: -2.2%
EV: -5.6%
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
63.4%
Fair American: -173
Fair Decimal: 1.58
Best Market: -180 · BetOnline.ag
Market Implied: 64.3%
Edge: -0.9%
EV: -1.4%
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
BOS
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 100 | Points | 106 |
| 0.610 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 272 | Goals For | 290 |
| 250 | Goals Against | 231 |
| 22 | Goal Differential | 59 |
| W2 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
BOS (Road)
|
Metric |
TBL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 16 | Wins | 26 |
| 41 | Points | 53 |
| -18 | Goal Differential | 22 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
BOS
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| 32 | Goals For | 26 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 6 | Goal Differential | -4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
BOS
|
H2H Summary |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 7-3 |
| 35 | Total Goals | 36 |
| -1 | Goal Differential | +1 |
| 3.5 | Goals / Game | 3.6 |
| 27.1 | Shots / Game | 33.9 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 |
Boston Bruins
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
5 - 6 | 34 - 46 | View |
| Oct 13, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Boston Bruins
@
|
4 - 3 | 23 - 33 | View |
| Mar 15, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Boston Bruins
@
|
6 - 2 | 40 - 12 | View |
| Mar 8, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 0 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Jan 14, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Boston Bruins
@
|
2 - 6 | 45 - 24 | View |
| Jan 9, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 4 | 28 - 31 | View |
| Mar 27, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 3 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Feb 13, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Boston Bruins
@
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 38 | View |
| Jan 6, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Boston Bruins
@
|
3 - 7 | 26 - 26 | View |
| Nov 20, 2023 |
Boston Bruins
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 5 | 27 - 47 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.