Away team
Boston Bruins
48.5%
Fair American
+106
Fair decimal
2.06
Boston Bruins vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 17, 2027
NHL matchup
Boston Bruins at Calgary Flames
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 17, 2027.
February 17, 2027
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Calgary Flames at 51.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Calgary Flames
51.5%
Fair American
-106
Fair decimal
1.94
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 17, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 6-2
- Net units
- 3.03
- ROI
- 37.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- -0.21
- ROI
- -2.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 6-0
- Net units
- 4.68
- ROI
- 78.1%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
78:24 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 70 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 49 / 47
- Corsi share
- 45.8%
- Fenwick share
- 51.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.06 / 3.21
Defense pair
123:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 100 / 131
- Fenwick for / against
- 72 / 89
- Corsi share
- 43.3%
- Fenwick share
- 44.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.76 / 6.36
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:08 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair
113:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 95
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 72
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.68 / 4.76
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Boston Bruins
Expected starter unavailable.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jeremy Swayman
Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 146
- Save %
- 91.1
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 34.9
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 17, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 3.22
- xG against / game
- 3.21
- xG differential / game
- 0.02
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.19
- xG differential / game
- -0.47
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 17, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.7
- Faceoff win %
- 54.4
- Penalties / game
- 5.2
Shots / game: 25.0 · Shooting: 16.4% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.6
- Faceoff win %
- 48.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BOS
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Points | 10 |
| 0.731 | Points % | 0.455 |
| 49 | Goals for | 28 |
| 28 | Goals against | 41 |
| 21 | Goal differential | -13 |
| L1 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
BOS road
|
Metric |
CGY home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 9 | Points | 8 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
BOS
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 41 | Goals for | 27 |
| 21 | Goals against | 35 |
| 20 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BOS
6 wins
10
games reviewed
CGY
4 wins
Total goals27 – 26
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game2.7 / 2.6
Shots per game28.7 / 33.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 4 | 29 - 30 | View |
| Dec 29, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 20 | View |
| Dec 17, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 35 - 23 | View |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 4 | 37 - 38 | View |
| Feb 22, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 3 | 34 - 30 | View |
| Feb 6, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 22 | View |
| Feb 28, 2023 |
Boston Bruins
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 20 - 57 | View |
| Nov 10, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 3 | 32 - 28 | View |
| Dec 11, 2021 |
Boston Bruins
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 2 | 27 - 42 | View |
| Nov 21, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 0 | 32 - 28 | View |