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Anaheim Ducks vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 9, 2026

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 9, 2026.

October 9, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Anaheim Ducks

5-6-0

5 Model pick
Final
Home

Winnipeg Jets

4-4-3

1
Model V2 pick: Anaheim Ducks at 50.1% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Anaheim Ducks logo
Away team

Anaheim Ducks

50.1%
Fair American -100
Fair decimal 2.0
Best market +107 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 48.3%
Edge +1.8%
Expected value +3.7%
Calculate value
Winnipeg Jets logo
Home team

Winnipeg Jets

49.9%
Fair American +100
Fair decimal 2.0
Best market -117 · Bovada
Market implied 53.9%
Edge -4.0%
Expected value -7.5%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 9, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
0.15
ROI
7.5%

Value Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
1.81
ROI
60.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—
Full team betting results

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%

Value Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
2.18
ROI
72.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

3 / 3 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

23:37 together · 3 games

xG share45.3%
Corsi for / against
31 / 29
Fenwick for / against
24 / 23
Corsi share
51.7%
Fenwick share
51.1%
xG for / against
1.45 / 1.75
Defense pair

44:25 together · 3 games

xG share35.2%
Corsi for / against
35 / 55
Fenwick for / against
20 / 40
Corsi share
38.9%
Fenwick share
33.3%
xG for / against
1.51 / 2.77
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

55:03 together · 4 games

xG share55.0%
Corsi for / against
69 / 64
Fenwick for / against
59 / 49
Corsi share
51.9%
Fenwick share
54.6%
xG for / against
3.49 / 2.86
Defense pair

42:29 together · 4 games

xG share37.8%
Corsi for / against
34 / 58
Fenwick for / against
29 / 42
Corsi share
37.0%
Fenwick share
40.8%
xG for / against
1.33 / 2.19
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 7

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
78
Save %
87.2
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
30.8

Stuart Skinner

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 7

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
100
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
30.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
2.99
xG against / game
3.42
xG differential / game
-0.43

3 / 3 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.89
xG against / game
3.20
xG differential / game
-0.31

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

3 / 3 games covered

Attempts / game
54.3
Corsi share (%)
47.4
Fenwick share (%)
46.9
Faceoff win %
43.0
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 23.7 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Winnipeg Jets

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
57.8
Corsi share (%)
44.8
Fenwick share (%)
45.7
Faceoff win %
45.8
Penalties / game
3.25

Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
10Points11
0.455Points %0.500
32Goals for27
37Goals against31
-5Goal differential-4
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
7Games6
4Wins2
8Points5
1Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
4-6-0Record4-4-2
8Points10
28Goals for24
34Goals against27
-6Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 5 wins
Total goals26 – 29
Goal differential -3 / +3
Goals per game2.6 / 2.9
Shots per game28.7 / 29.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 10, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 1 35 - 13 View
Feb 27, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 5 33 - 40 View
Nov 9, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
1 - 4 24 - 21 View
Apr 16, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 31 - 44 View
Jan 2, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 3 24 - 30 View
Dec 18, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 23 - 31 View
Mar 15, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
0 - 6 21 - 38 View
Jan 5, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 1 27 - 38 View
Dec 10, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 2 31 - 26 View
Mar 23, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 2 33 - 20 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings ANA WPG