Forward trio
77:49 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 103 / 71
- Fenwick for / against
- 77 / 53
- Corsi share
- 59.2%
- Fenwick share
- 59.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.04 / 3.65
Anaheim Ducks vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 12, 2026.
March 12, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Anaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
135:32 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 136 / 115
- Fenwick for / against
- 102 / 89
- Corsi share
- 54.2%
- Fenwick share
- 53.4%
- xG for / against
- 6.84 / 6.26
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
57:35 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 53 / 61
- Fenwick for / against
- 41 / 46
- Corsi share
- 46.5%
- Fenwick share
- 47.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.18 / 3.75
Defense pair
92:02 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 85 / 115
- Fenwick for / against
- 64 / 83
- Corsi share
- 42.5%
- Fenwick share
- 43.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.55 / 5.47
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Lukas Dostal
Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Mar 10
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 134
- Save %
- 87.3
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 35.1
Joseph Woll
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Mar 10
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 148
- Save %
- 88.5
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 33.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Anaheim Ducks
- xG for / game
- 3.32
- xG against / game
- 3.70
- xG differential / game
- -0.38
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 2.77
- xG against / game
- 3.86
- xG differential / game
- -1.09
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Anaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.3
- Faceoff win %
- 48.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 30.3 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 43.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.1
- Faceoff win %
- 53.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 27.3 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
ANA
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 16 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.571 |
| 37 | Goals for | 52 |
| 43 | Goals against | 46 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 6 |
| OT1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
ANA road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 8 |
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 8 | Points | 9 |
| 1 | Goal differential | -1 |
Last 10 games
|
ANA
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 7 | Points | 12 |
| 30 | Goals for | 41 |
| 38 | Goals against | 35 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
ANA
2 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
8 wins
Total goals21 – 42
Goal differential
-21
/
+21
Goals per game2.1 / 4.2
Shots per game29.3 / 36.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
3 - 2 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Dec 12, 2024 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 33 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 9 | 21 - 32 | View |
| Jan 3, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
2 - 1 | 57 - 28 | View |
| Dec 13, 2022 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 7 | 28 - 42 | View |
| Oct 30, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
3 - 4 | 36 - 39 | View |
| Jan 26, 2022 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 4 | 20 - 44 | View |
| Nov 28, 2021 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
5 - 1 | 31 - 40 | View |
| Mar 6, 2020 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
1 - 2 | 31 - 28 | View |
| Feb 7, 2020 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 5 | 30 - 35 | View |