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Anaheim Ducks vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 17, 2026

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 17, 2026.

November 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: St. Louis Blues at 64.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Home team

St. Louis Blues

64.0%
Fair American -178
Fair decimal 1.56
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 17, 2026.

All Model Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
1.13
ROI
16.1%

Value Picks

Bets
5
Record
4-1
Net units
3.94
ROI
78.8%

Market Favourite

Bets
3
Record
1-2
Net units
-1.15
ROI
-38.4%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

34:28 together · 5 games

xG share60.5%
Corsi for / against
35 / 32
Fenwick for / against
23 / 20
Corsi share
52.2%
Fenwick share
53.5%
xG for / against
2.09 / 1.36
Defense pair

97:22 together · 10 games

xG share38.7%
Corsi for / against
87 / 99
Fenwick for / against
61 / 69
Corsi share
46.8%
Fenwick share
46.9%
xG for / against
3.88 / 6.14
All observed combinations

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

109:44 together · 10 games

xG share47.3%
Corsi for / against
96 / 102
Fenwick for / against
67 / 86
Corsi share
48.5%
Fenwick share
43.8%
xG for / against
5.37 / 5.98
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
147
Save %
86.4
Goals allowed
20
Close-range shots %
36.1

Jordan Binnington

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 27

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
103
Save %
84.5
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
35.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
2.93
xG against / game
3.68
xG differential / game
-0.75

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
3.12
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.44

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.4
Corsi share (%)
49.0
Fenwick share (%)
48.9
Faceoff win %
46.5
Penalties / game
5.1

Shots / game: 24.2 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.0
Corsi share (%)
51.6
Fenwick share (%)
49.6
Faceoff win %
51.5
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
11Points11
0.458Points %0.458
37Goals for35
43Goals against37
-6Goal differential-2
OT1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
7Games6
4Wins3
8Points7
1Goal differential0
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
3-6-1Record4-5-1
7Points9
30Goals for30
38Goals against31
-8Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 1 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 9 wins
Total goals24 – 47
Goal differential -23 / +23
Goals per game2.4 / 4.7
Shots per game26.9 / 29.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 3, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
6 - 2 29 - 27 View
Mar 8, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 0 35 - 22 View
Dec 1, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 1 26 - 22 View
Mar 16, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 7 25 - 26 View
Mar 7, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 3 22 - 24 View
Jan 9, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 6 23 - 34 View
Apr 7, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
6 - 5 31 - 38 View
Mar 17, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 4 28 - 27 View
Nov 19, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 1 32 - 31 View
Mar 25, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
6 - 3 36 - 25 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.