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Anaheim Ducks vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 14, 2026

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 14, 2026.

March 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

84:20 together · 9 games

xG share54.4%
Corsi for / against
111 / 74
Fenwick for / against
84 / 56
Corsi share
60.0%
Fenwick share
60.0%
xG for / against
4.38 / 3.67
Defense pair

124:19 together · 10 games

xG share55.9%
Corsi for / against
133 / 99
Fenwick for / against
99 / 82
Corsi share
57.3%
Fenwick share
54.7%
xG for / against
7.26 / 5.72
All observed combinations

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

99:56 together · 10 games

xG share63.0%
Corsi for / against
98 / 85
Fenwick for / against
78 / 60
Corsi share
53.6%
Fenwick share
56.5%
xG for / against
5.42 / 3.19
Defense pair

124:48 together · 10 games

xG share55.0%
Corsi for / against
101 / 111
Fenwick for / against
78 / 76
Corsi share
47.6%
Fenwick share
50.6%
xG for / against
5.30 / 4.34
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Mar 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
85.9
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
33.6

Linus Ullmark

Ottawa Senators · Last start: Mar 11

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
124
Save %
87.9
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
32.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.64
xG against / game
3.71
xG differential / game
-0.06

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Ottawa Senators

xG for / game
3.59
xG against / game
2.34
xG differential / game
1.25

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.9
Corsi share (%)
50.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.6
Faceoff win %
47.2
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 32.0 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.9
Corsi share (%)
55.7
Fenwick share (%)
56.4
Faceoff win %
52.0
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 30.5 · Shooting: 10.8% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
11Points16
0.458Points %0.615
37Goals for39
43Goals against38
-6Goal differential1
OT1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT home
7Games7
4Wins5
8Points10
1Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
3-6-1Record6-4-0
7Points12
30Goals for29
38Goals against30
-8Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Ottawa Senators OTT 4 wins
Total goals26 – 24
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game2.6 / 2.4
Shots per game25.9 / 34.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 20, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 2 25 - 25 View
Dec 11, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
1 - 5 32 - 34 View
Dec 1, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 4 31 - 34 View
Mar 6, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
1 - 2 30 - 16 View
Feb 15, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
5 - 1 20 - 34 View
Dec 12, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
0 - 3 32 - 38 View
Nov 25, 2022
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 1 33 - 32 View
Jan 29, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
2 - 1 20 - 45 View
Nov 26, 2021
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
0 - 4 34 - 33 View
Mar 10, 2020
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 5 42 - 15 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.