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Anaheim Ducks vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 22, 2026.

October 22, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Anaheim Ducks

5-6-0

1
Final
Home

New Jersey Devils

7-4-0

4 Model pick
Model V2 pick: New Jersey Devils at 66.5% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Anaheim Ducks logo
Away team

Anaheim Ducks

33.5%
Fair American +199
Fair decimal 2.99
Best market +181 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 35.6%
Edge -2.1%
Expected value -5.9%
Calculate value
New Jersey Devils logo
Home team

New Jersey Devils

66.5%
Fair American -199
Fair decimal 1.5
Best market -208 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 67.5%
Edge -1.0%
Expected value -1.5%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 22, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
5
Record
3-2
Net units
1.07
ROI
21.3%

Value Picks

Bets
4
Record
3-1
Net units
2.88
ROI
72.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
-0.15
ROI
-7.6%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

49:42 together · 7 games

xG share53.3%
Corsi for / against
44 / 49
Fenwick for / against
28 / 33
Corsi share
47.3%
Fenwick share
45.9%
xG for / against
2.28 / 2.00
Defense pair

68:14 together · 8 games

xG share39.7%
Corsi for / against
66 / 65
Fenwick for / against
49 / 46
Corsi share
50.4%
Fenwick share
51.6%
xG for / against
3.09 / 4.69
All observed combinations

New Jersey Devils

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

56:01 together · 6 games

xG share66.2%
Corsi for / against
76 / 40
Fenwick for / against
54 / 26
Corsi share
65.5%
Fenwick share
67.5%
xG for / against
3.60 / 1.84
Defense pair

138:19 together · 9 games

xG share58.7%
Corsi for / against
191 / 99
Fenwick for / against
120 / 70
Corsi share
65.9%
Fenwick share
63.2%
xG for / against
6.87 / 4.84
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Anaheim Ducks

Lukas Dostal 85.0%
Other eligible goalies

Why Lukas Dostal?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+1.126
Started last game
-0.262
Won previous appearance
-0.185
Rolling 5 game avg save pct
-0.184
Team win pct before
+0.126
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 22, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

New Jersey Devils

Jake Allen 67.8%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jake Allen?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.672
Started last game
-0.302
Won previous appearance
+0.281
Goalie win pct before
+0.256
Prev save pct
+0.121
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 22, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
116
Save %
86.2
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
34.5

Jake Allen

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
31.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
2.88
xG against / game
3.72
xG differential / game
-0.83

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
3.73
xG against / game
2.65
xG differential / game
1.08

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
56.2
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
48.1
Faceoff win %
43.2
Penalties / game
4.22

Shots / game: 24.1 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

New Jersey Devils

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
74.0
Corsi share (%)
59.5
Fenwick share (%)
58.0
Faceoff win %
51.3
Penalties / game
2.78

Shots / game: 35.7 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 30.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
10Points14
0.455Points %0.636
32Goals for36
37Goals against32
-5Goal differential4
W1Current streakW3
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD home
7Games8
4Wins6
8Points12
1Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
4-6-0Record6-4-0
8Points12
28Goals for33
34Goals against30
-6Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 5 wins
10 games reviewed
New Jersey Devils NJD 5 wins
Total goals28 – 29
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game2.8 / 2.9
Shots per game27.7 / 35.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 13, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 4 31 - 22 View
Nov 2, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
1 - 4 33 - 29 View
Dec 31, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 34 - 26 View
Oct 27, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
2 - 6 26 - 34 View
Mar 1, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 4 55 - 23 View
Dec 17, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
5 - 1 28 - 29 View
Jan 13, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
6 - 2 39 - 33 View
Oct 18, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
2 - 4 20 - 41 View
Mar 12, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 2 34 - 40 View
Nov 2, 2021
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
0 - 4 28 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings ANA NJD