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Anaheim Ducks vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 15, 2026

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 15, 2026.

March 15, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

92:26 together · 10 games

xG share52.9%
Corsi for / against
123 / 85
Fenwick for / against
93 / 64
Corsi share
59.1%
Fenwick share
59.2%
xG for / against
4.88 / 4.35
Defense pair

121:19 together · 10 games

xG share54.9%
Corsi for / against
118 / 99
Fenwick for / against
91 / 83
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
52.3%
xG for / against
6.94 / 5.69
All observed combinations

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

100:37 together · 10 games

xG share54.4%
Corsi for / against
106 / 79
Fenwick for / against
76 / 56
Corsi share
57.3%
Fenwick share
57.6%
xG for / against
5.78 / 4.85
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ville Husso

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Mar 14

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
153
Save %
92.2
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
28.8

Jakub Dobes

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Mar 14

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
134
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
32.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.63
xG against / game
3.84
xG differential / game
-0.21

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.41
xG against / game
3.48
xG differential / game
-0.07

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.7
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
50.2
Faceoff win %
48.9
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 31.3 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.7
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.7
Faceoff win %
53.1
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 14.6% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
11Points16
0.458Points %0.667
37Goals for38
43Goals against36
-6Goal differential2
OT1Current streakW3
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
7Games6
4Wins3
8Points7
1Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
3-6-1Record6-3-1
7Points13
30Goals for30
38Goals against28
-8Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 4 wins
Total goals33 – 32
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.3 / 3.2
Shots per game28.2 / 27.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 6, 2026
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 6 28 - 33 View
Feb 2, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 23 - 22 View
Dec 9, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 3 29 - 21 View
Feb 13, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
0 - 5 13 - 38 View
Nov 22, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 3 28 - 33 View
Mar 3, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 28 - 33 View
Dec 15, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2 32 - 25 View
Jan 27, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 4 24 - 40 View
Oct 31, 2021
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 4 18 - 26 View
Feb 6, 2020
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 3 37 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.