Away team
Anaheim Ducks
46.2%
Fair American
+116
Fair decimal
2.16
Anaheim Ducks vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 12, 2026.
December 12, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Buffalo Sabres at 53.8%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Buffalo Sabres
53.8%
Fair American
-116
Fair decimal
1.86
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 12, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 4-3
- Net units
- 1.13
- ROI
- 16.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 3.94
- ROI
- 78.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -1.15
- ROI
- -38.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -1.66
- ROI
- -23.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 1-5
- Net units
- -4.07
- ROI
- -67.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 2.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Anaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
34:28 together · 5 games
- Corsi for / against
- 35 / 32
- Fenwick for / against
- 23 / 20
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 53.5%
- xG for / against
- 2.09 / 1.36
Defense pair
97:22 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 87 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 69
- Corsi share
- 46.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.88 / 6.14
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:52 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 46
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 34
- Corsi share
- 67.1%
- Fenwick share
- 64.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.12 / 2.16
Defense pair
82:50 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 70 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 49
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 49.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.17 / 3.45
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Anaheim Ducks
Expected starter unavailable.
Buffalo Sabres
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Lukas Dostal
Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 147
- Save %
- 86.4
- Goals allowed
- 20
- Close-range shots %
- 36.1
Colten Ellis
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 82
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 26.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Anaheim Ducks
- xG for / game
- 2.93
- xG against / game
- 3.68
- xG differential / game
- -0.75
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.17
- xG against / game
- 3.59
- xG differential / game
- -0.41
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Anaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.9
- Faceoff win %
- 46.5
- Penalties / game
- 5.1
Shots / game: 24.2 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.0
- Faceoff win %
- 47.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 27.6 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
ANA
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 13 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 37 | Goals for | 33 |
| 43 | Goals against | 41 |
| -6 | Goal differential | -8 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
ANA road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 6 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 8 | Points | 6 |
| 1 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
ANA
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 4-3-3 |
| 7 | Points | 11 |
| 30 | Goals for | 26 |
| 38 | Goals against | 32 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
ANA
4 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
6 wins
Total goals32 – 38
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game3.2 / 3.8
Shots per game27.8 / 33.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
5 - 6 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 5 | 34 - 32 | View |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 18 - 37 | View |
| Nov 22, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
3 - 2 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Feb 19, 2024 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 3 | 14 - 37 | View |
| Jan 23, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
2 - 4 | 30 - 36 | View |
| Feb 15, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
7 - 3 | 44 - 22 | View |
| Jan 21, 2023 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 6 | 37 - 39 | View |
| Dec 7, 2021 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 0 | 23 - 25 | View |
| Oct 28, 2021 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
4 - 3 | 29 - 37 | View |