💰 Daily Edge Board
Compare the full slate at once using playerWON model probabilities, fair odds, and the best captured sportsbook lines. You can still overwrite any line manually.
🎯 Best EV Summary
Best side per game based on the loaded or edited sportsbook lines.
| Time | Matchup | Best Side | Book | Odds | Model % | Implied % | Edge | EV | Kelly | Link |
|---|
| Time | Matchup | Snapshot | Away % | Home % | Away Fair | Home Fair | Away Book | Away Odds | Away Edge | Away EV | Away Kelly | Home Book | Home Odds | Home Edge | Home EV | Home Kelly | Best EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:00 PM |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Dallas Stars
|
—
|
55.9% | 44.1% | -127 | +127 |
—
|
— | — | — |
—
|
— | — | — | — | ||
| 4:00 PM |
Ottawa Senators
Detroit Red Wings
|
—
|
49.8% | 50.2% | +101 | -101 |
—
|
— | — | — |
—
|
— | — | — | — | ||
| 7:00 PM |
St. Louis Blues
Edmonton Oilers
|
—
|
38.5% | 61.5% | +159 | -159 |
—
|
— | — | — |
—
|
— | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Lightning
55.9%
Dallas Stars
44.1%
Tampa Bay Lightning
Dallas Stars
Ottawa Senators
49.8%
Detroit Red Wings
50.2%
Ottawa Senators
Detroit Red Wings
St. Louis Blues
38.5%
Edmonton Oilers
61.5%
St. Louis Blues
Edmonton Oilers
1. Model Win Probability
This is the model’s estimate of how often a team should win. For example, 58.0% means the model expects that side to win about 58 times out of 100.
2. Fair Odds
Fair odds are the no-margin odds based on the model probability. They represent the break-even price implied by the model itself.
3. Best Book / Loaded Odds
The page loads the best captured sportsbook line for each side from the final pregame snapshot before scheduled start. You can still overwrite it manually if you want to compare a different price.
4. Implied Probability
This is the win probability implied by the sportsbook price. It is calculated directly from the odds.
5. Edge
Edge is the difference between the model probability and the sportsbook implied probability.
Formula: Model Probability − Implied Probability
6. EV
EV stands for expected value. It estimates whether the entered price is favorable based on the model probability and payout.
Positive EV suggests theoretical value. Negative EV suggests the price is not favorable based on the model.
7. Kelly
Kelly is a bankroll sizing formula. It suggests what percentage of a bankroll to stake if the edge is real.
On this page, negative Kelly values are shown as 0.0% for readability.