Forward trio
35:26 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 25 / 33
- Fenwick for / against
- 17 / 24
- Corsi share
- 43.1%
- Fenwick share
- 41.5%
- xG for / against
- 1.01 / 1.21
Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 18, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 18, 2026.
January 18, 2026
· 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
117:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 107 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 74 / 61
- Corsi share
- 52.5%
- Fenwick share
- 54.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.60 / 4.06
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
110:00 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 100 / 112
- Fenwick for / against
- 77 / 69
- Corsi share
- 47.2%
- Fenwick share
- 52.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.38 / 4.52
Defense pair
178:16 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 145 / 167
- Fenwick for / against
- 108 / 110
- Corsi share
- 46.5%
- Fenwick share
- 49.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.13 / 7.00
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Leevi Meriläinen
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Jan 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 100
- Save %
- 83.0
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Jan 16
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 144
- Save %
- 93.8
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 29.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.32
- xG against / game
- 2.34
- xG differential / game
- 0.98
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.11
- xG differential / game
- -0.40
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 56.4
- Faceoff win %
- 49.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.8
Shots / game: 31.1 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.9
- Faceoff win %
- 46.4
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 23.1 · Shooting: 13.4% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 13 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 38 | Goals for | 33 |
| 34 | Goals against | 37 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 5-2-3 |
| 12 | Points | 13 |
| 31 | Goals for | 31 |
| 31 | Goals against | 32 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
7 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
3 wins
Total goals34 – 26
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game3.4 / 2.6
Shots per game31.8 / 29.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 3 | 20 - 38 | View |
| Mar 27, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 3 | 32 - 34 | View |
| Mar 10, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 2 | 49 - 23 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 33 | View |
| Dec 5, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 2 | 20 - 32 | View |
| Jan 31, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Dec 9, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 1 | 37 - 31 | View |
| Nov 16, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 5 | 41 - 34 | View |
| Oct 21, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 2 | 23 - 37 | View |
| Feb 28, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 6 | 17 - 27 | View |