Away team
Winnipeg Jets
41.4%
Fair American
+142
Fair decimal
2.42
Winnipeg Jets vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 2, 2027
NHL matchup
Winnipeg Jets at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 2, 2027.
February 2, 2027
· 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Washington Capitals at 58.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Washington Capitals
58.6%
Fair American
-142
Fair decimal
1.71
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 2, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 1-4
- Net units
- -3.07
- ROI
- -61.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 2-6
- Net units
- -2.82
- ROI
- -35.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.07
- ROI
- -51.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 7-2
- Net units
- 3.23
- ROI
- 35.9%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
106:00 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 120 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 89 / 71
- Corsi share
- 57.1%
- Fenwick share
- 55.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.97 / 5.60
Defense pair
130:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 130 / 98
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 70
- Corsi share
- 57.0%
- Fenwick share
- 57.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.52 / 4.74
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:55 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 66 / 59
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 40
- Corsi share
- 52.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.82 / 2.37
Defense pair
86:57 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 75 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 58 / 79
- Corsi share
- 41.7%
- Fenwick share
- 42.3%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 4.46
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Winnipeg Jets
Expected starter unavailable.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Nico Daws
Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 30
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 100
- Save %
- 91.0
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 22.0
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 29
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 107
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 28.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
- xG for / game
- 2.86
- xG against / game
- 3.56
- xG differential / game
- -0.70
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.60
- xG against / game
- 3.11
- xG differential / game
- 0.49
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.2
- Faceoff win %
- 49.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WPG
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 16 |
| 0.393 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 34 | Goals for | 43 |
| 47 | Goals against | 37 |
| -13 | Goal differential | 6 |
| L4 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
WPG road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 8 |
| 2 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Points | 12 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
WPG
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 1-7-2 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 4 | Points | 14 |
| 22 | Goals for | 37 |
| 37 | Goals against | 32 |
| -15 | Goal differential | 5 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WPG
4 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
6 wins
Total goals27 – 32
Goal differential
-5
/
+5
Goals per game2.7 / 3.2
Shots per game29.9 / 29.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
1 - 5 | 25 - 35 | View |
| Nov 26, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Mar 25, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 25 | View |
| Feb 1, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Washington Capitals
|
5 - 4 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Mar 24, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Washington Capitals
|
0 - 3 | 27 - 19 | View |
| Mar 11, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
0 - 3 | 23 - 29 | View |
| Dec 23, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 4 | 26 - 27 | View |
| Dec 11, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
5 - 2 | 36 - 31 | View |
| Jan 18, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 31 | View |
| Dec 17, 2021 |
Washington Capitals
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
5 - 2 | 39 - 42 | View |