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Winnipeg Jets vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 25, 2026

NHL matchup

Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 25, 2026.

February 25, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

89:53 together · 10 games

xG share47.3%
Corsi for / against
81 / 79
Fenwick for / against
56 / 55
Corsi share
50.6%
Fenwick share
50.5%
xG for / against
2.65 / 2.96
Defense pair

145:53 together · 10 games

xG share55.8%
Corsi for / against
142 / 131
Fenwick for / against
108 / 97
Corsi share
52.0%
Fenwick share
52.7%
xG for / against
7.08 / 5.61
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

65:30 together · 8 games

xG share51.6%
Corsi for / against
71 / 47
Fenwick for / against
48 / 32
Corsi share
60.2%
Fenwick share
60.0%
xG for / against
2.48 / 2.33
Defense pair

92:02 together · 9 games

xG share39.4%
Corsi for / against
78 / 87
Fenwick for / against
56 / 63
Corsi share
47.3%
Fenwick share
47.1%
xG for / against
3.81 / 5.87
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Connor Hellebuyck

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Feb 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
149
Save %
87.9
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
36.2

Kevin Lankinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Feb 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
82
Save %
79.3
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
35.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.79
xG against / game
2.95
xG differential / game
-0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.91
xG against / game
3.89
xG differential / game
-0.98

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.2
Corsi share (%)
48.2
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
47.5
Penalties / game
2.7

Shots / game: 25.8 · Shooting: 7.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.9
Corsi share (%)
46.4
Fenwick share (%)
46.0
Faceoff win %
50.5
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 27.3 · Shooting: 8.4% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
11Points5
0.500Points %0.192
27Goals for37
31Goals against60
-4Goal differential-23
L1Current streakL4
Road versus home
Winnipeg Jets WPG road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
5Games6
2Wins1
6Points2
-1Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
4-4-2Record0-9-1
10Points1
24Goals for20
27Goals against45
-3Goal differential-25
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Winnipeg Jets WPG 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 2 wins
Total goals40 – 27
Goal differential +13 / -13
Goals per game4.0 / 2.7
Shots per game28.1 / 28.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 11, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 3 30 - 33 View
Mar 30, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 3 24 - 27 View
Mar 18, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 6 22 - 22 View
Jan 14, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 6 24 - 33 View
Apr 18, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 4 20 - 26 View
Mar 9, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
0 - 5 22 - 37 View
Feb 17, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 2 28 - 37 View
Jan 8, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 7 38 - 27 View
Dec 29, 2022
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 4 22 - 39 View
Dec 17, 2022
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 1 27 - 23 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.