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Winnipeg Jets vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 20, 2026

NHL matchup

Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 20, 2026.

October 20, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Winnipeg Jets

4-4-3

1 Model pick
Final
Home

St. Louis Blues

5-5-1

2
Model V2 pick: Winnipeg Jets at 50.0% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Winnipeg Jets logo
Away team

Winnipeg Jets

50.0%
Fair American -100
Fair decimal 2.0
Best market +128 · BetRivers
Market implied 43.9%
Edge +6.1%
Expected value +14.0%
Calculate value
St. Louis Blues logo
Home team

St. Louis Blues

50.0%
Fair American -100
Fair decimal 2.0
Best market -140 · BetUS
Market implied 58.3%
Edge -8.3%
Expected value -14.3%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 20, 2026.

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
-0.07
ROI
-3.7%

Value Picks

Bets
4
Record
2-2
Net units
1.18
ROI
29.5%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Winnipeg Jets

8 / 8 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

106:37 together · 8 games

xG share51.6%
Corsi for / against
123 / 114
Fenwick for / against
97 / 87
Corsi share
51.9%
Fenwick share
52.7%
xG for / against
6.21 / 5.82
Defense pair

87:15 together · 8 games

xG share45.0%
Corsi for / against
75 / 99
Fenwick for / against
58 / 68
Corsi share
43.1%
Fenwick share
46.0%
xG for / against
3.11 / 3.80
All observed combinations

St. Louis Blues

8 / 8 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

84:30 together · 8 games

xG share56.9%
Corsi for / against
83 / 55
Fenwick for / against
59 / 47
Corsi share
60.1%
Fenwick share
55.7%
xG for / against
4.86 / 3.68
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Winnipeg Jets

Stuart Skinner 84.5%
Other eligible goalies

Why Stuart Skinner?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.704
Started last game
+0.358
Days since last start
+0.317
Goalie win pct before
+0.268
Prev save pct
-0.253
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 20, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

St. Louis Blues

Joel Hofer 92.2%
Other eligible goalies

Why Joel Hofer?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.644
Started last game
+0.346
Days since last start
+0.266
Prev save pct
-0.236
Team win pct before
+0.215
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 20, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Clay Stevenson

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 17

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
84
Save %
89.3
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
34.5

Jordan Binnington

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 17

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
83
Save %
83.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
34.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.91
xG against / game
3.19
xG differential / game
-0.28

8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.96
xG against / game
2.77
xG differential / game
0.18

8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

8 / 8 games covered

Attempts / game
57.2
Corsi share (%)
47.7
Fenwick share (%)
47.5
Faceoff win %
45.9
Penalties / game
3.12

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 10.8% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

St. Louis Blues

8 / 8 games covered

Attempts / game
55.1
Corsi share (%)
51.1
Fenwick share (%)
48.5
Faceoff win %
48.1
Penalties / game
3.88

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
11Points11
0.500Points %0.500
27Goals for35
31Goals against35
-4Goal differential0
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Winnipeg Jets WPG road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
5Games5
2Wins3
6Points7
-1Goal differential2
Last 10 games
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
4-4-2Record4-5-1
10Points9
24Goals for31
27Goals against35
-3Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Winnipeg Jets WPG 8 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 2 wins
Total goals29 – 20
Goal differential +9 / -9
Goals per game2.9 / 2.0
Shots per game26.0 / 26.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 9, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 2 34 - 22 View
Mar 15, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 3 31 - 16 View
Jan 20, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 3 23 - 16 View
Dec 17, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
0 - 1 24 - 26 View
Apr 7, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 3 15 - 26 View
Feb 22, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 3 28 - 24 View
Dec 3, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 1 32 - 23 View
Oct 22, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 2 24 - 29 View
Feb 27, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 4 38 - 32 View
Nov 7, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 2 37 - 22 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings WPG STL