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Winnipeg Jets vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 1, 2026

NHL matchup

Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 1, 2026.

March 1, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

63:51 together · 10 games

xG share38.1%
Corsi for / against
49 / 58
Fenwick for / against
33 / 41
Corsi share
45.8%
Fenwick share
44.6%
xG for / against
1.54 / 2.51
Defense pair

118:51 together · 9 games

xG share54.4%
Corsi for / against
112 / 85
Fenwick for / against
82 / 65
Corsi share
56.9%
Fenwick share
55.8%
xG for / against
4.40 / 3.69
All observed combinations

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

60:46 together · 9 games

xG share37.6%
Corsi for / against
52 / 66
Fenwick for / against
37 / 50
Corsi share
44.1%
Fenwick share
42.5%
xG for / against
2.26 / 3.76
Defense pair

120:49 together · 9 games

xG share37.1%
Corsi for / against
115 / 129
Fenwick for / against
80 / 98
Corsi share
47.1%
Fenwick share
44.9%
xG for / against
4.52 / 7.67
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Connor Hellebuyck

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Feb 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
159
Save %
88.1
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
37.7

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Feb 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
86.7
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
25.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
3.00
xG against / game
3.20
xG differential / game
-0.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
3.02
xG against / game
3.26
xG differential / game
-0.24

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.3
Corsi share (%)
48.6
Fenwick share (%)
48.1
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
2.6

Shots / game: 25.7 · Shooting: 8.9% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.8
Corsi share (%)
47.2
Fenwick share (%)
47.4
Faceoff win %
45.7
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 28.2 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
11Points13
0.458Points %0.500
28Goals for37
36Goals against45
-8Goal differential-8
L2Current streakL2
Road versus home
Winnipeg Jets WPG road
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS home
5Games5
2Wins2
6Points4
-1Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
3-5-2Record4-5-1
8Points9
22Goals for28
30Goals against33
-8Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Winnipeg Jets WPG 6 wins
10 games reviewed
San Jose Sharks SJS 4 wins
Total goals27 – 20
Goal differential +7 / -7
Goals per game2.7 / 2.0
Shots per game35.5 / 25.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 7, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 2 33 - 28 View
Feb 24, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 18 - 35 View
Dec 17, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 3 33 - 35 View
Oct 18, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 8 22 - 36 View
Feb 14, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
0 - 1 17 - 39 View
Jan 4, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 1 30 - 28 View
Dec 12, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 2 37 - 32 View
Apr 10, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 6 21 - 33 View
Mar 28, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
0 - 3 41 - 30 View
Mar 6, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 2 24 - 38 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.