Forward trio
96:14 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 79
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 54
- Corsi share
- 54.6%
- Fenwick share
- 54.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.51 / 4.20
Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 21, 2026
NHL matchup
Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 21, 2026.
March 21, 2026
· 12:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
122:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 108 / 116
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 80
- Corsi share
- 48.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.29 / 5.06
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:07 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 68 / 72
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 54
- Corsi share
- 48.6%
- Fenwick share
- 47.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.31 / 3.69
Defense pair
133:55 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 136 / 134
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 99
- Corsi share
- 50.4%
- Fenwick share
- 49.0%
- xG for / against
- 6.04 / 6.70
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Connor Hellebuyck
Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Mar 19
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 129
- Save %
- 86.0
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 23.3
Stuart Skinner
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Mar 18
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 161
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 32.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
- xG for / game
- 2.73
- xG against / game
- 2.81
- xG differential / game
- -0.07
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.33
- xG against / game
- 3.50
- xG differential / game
- -0.17
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.7
- Faceoff win %
- 52.2
- Penalties / game
- 1.7
Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 9.5% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.1
- Faceoff win %
- 43.3
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 13.2% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WPG
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 11 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 28 | Goals for | 40 |
| 36 | Goals against | 40 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 0 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
WPG road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 5 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Points | 8 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
WPG
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 8 | Points | 7 |
| 22 | Goals for | 27 |
| 30 | Goals against | 35 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WPG
5 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
5 wins
Total goals26 – 27
Goal differential
-1
/
+1
Goals per game2.6 / 2.7
Shots per game31.6 / 31.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 5 | 30 - 34 | View |
| Nov 22, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 1 | 30 - 18 | View |
| Oct 20, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 6 | 42 - 37 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
1 - 2 | 36 - 31 | View |
| Feb 6, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
0 - 3 | 23 - 27 | View |
| Jan 13, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 1 | 40 - 23 | View |
| Nov 19, 2022 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 0 | 32 - 32 | View |
| Jan 23, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 38 | View |
| Nov 22, 2021 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 1 | 36 - 31 | View |
| Oct 13, 2019 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
7 - 2 | 28 - 29 | View |