Away team
Winnipeg Jets
56.9%
Fair American
-132
Fair decimal
1.76
Winnipeg Jets vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 30, 2027
NHL matchup
Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 30, 2027.
January 30, 2027
· 12:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Winnipeg Jets at 56.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Philadelphia Flyers
43.1%
Fair American
+132
Fair decimal
2.32
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 30, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 1-4
- Net units
- -3.07
- ROI
- -61.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -1.82
- ROI
- -26.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.07
- ROI
- -51.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -0.64
- ROI
- -10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 30. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
137:51 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 124
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 97
- Corsi share
- 56.2%
- Fenwick share
- 55.3%
- xG for / against
- 7.87 / 6.99
Defense pair
118:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 120 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 88 / 71
- Corsi share
- 55.3%
- Fenwick share
- 55.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.38 / 4.83
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
66:54 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 50 / 52
- Fenwick for / against
- 30 / 37
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 44.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.16 / 2.13
Defense pair
113:05 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 100
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 66
- Corsi share
- 51.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.5%
- xG for / against
- 4.75 / 4.64
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Winnipeg Jets
Expected starter unavailable.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Clay Stevenson
Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 108
- Save %
- 87.0
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.9
Joseph Woll
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 137
- Save %
- 87.6
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 31.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 30, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
- xG for / game
- 2.86
- xG against / game
- 3.31
- xG differential / game
- -0.45
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.73
- xG against / game
- 3.30
- xG differential / game
- -0.57
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 30, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 45.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 8.3% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.4
- Faceoff win %
- 49.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 24.6 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WPG
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 10 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.333 |
| 28 | Goals for | 29 |
| 36 | Goals against | 51 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -22 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
WPG road
|
Metric |
PHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 8 |
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -11 |
Last 10 games
|
WPG
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | Record | 3-5-2 |
| 8 | Points | 8 |
| 22 | Goals for | 23 |
| 30 | Goals against | 32 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WPG
4 wins
10
games reviewed
PHI
6 wins
Total goals22 – 28
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game2.2 / 2.8
Shots per game29.4 / 28.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
7 - 1 | 23 - 28 | View |
| Oct 16, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 2 | 15 - 17 | View |
| Mar 6, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 1 | 27 - 22 | View |
| Mar 1, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 1 | 32 - 30 | View |
| Feb 8, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 4 | 29 - 21 | View |
| Jan 13, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 0 | 36 - 35 | View |
| Jan 28, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
4 - 0 | 33 - 40 | View |
| Jan 22, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 3 | 30 - 31 | View |
| Apr 27, 2022 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
0 - 4 | 35 - 27 | View |
| Feb 1, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 3 | 33 - 36 | View |