Away team
Winnipeg Jets
46.2%
Fair American
+116
Fair decimal
2.16
Winnipeg Jets vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 14, 2027
NHL matchup
Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 14, 2027.
January 14, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Ottawa Senators at 53.8%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Ottawa Senators
53.8%
Fair American
-116
Fair decimal
1.86
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 14, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 1-4
- Net units
- -3.07
- ROI
- -61.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -1.82
- ROI
- -26.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.07
- ROI
- -51.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 1.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.17
- ROI
- -8.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 0.63
- ROI
- 7.8%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
137:51 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 158 / 124
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 97
- Corsi share
- 56.0%
- Fenwick share
- 55.3%
- xG for / against
- 7.87 / 6.99
Defense pair
118:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 120 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 88 / 71
- Corsi share
- 55.3%
- Fenwick share
- 55.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.38 / 4.83
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
39:16 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 34 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 21 / 39
- Corsi share
- 44.2%
- Fenwick share
- 35.0%
- xG for / against
- 1.84 / 2.49
Defense pair
81:43 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 98 / 76
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 46
- Corsi share
- 56.3%
- Fenwick share
- 59.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.60 / 2.72
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Winnipeg Jets
Expected starter unavailable.
Ottawa Senators
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Clay Stevenson
Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 108
- Save %
- 87.0
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.9
Jonas Johansson
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Oct 27
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 56
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 6
- Close-range shots %
- 33.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 14, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
- xG for / game
- 2.86
- xG against / game
- 3.31
- xG differential / game
- -0.45
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 2.85
- xG against / game
- 2.73
- xG differential / game
- 0.12
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 14, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 45.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 8.3% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.9
- Faceoff win %
- 52.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WPG
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 16 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 28 | Goals for | 39 |
| 36 | Goals against | 38 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 1 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
WPG road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 2 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Points | 10 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
WPG
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 8 | Points | 12 |
| 22 | Goals for | 29 |
| 30 | Goals against | 30 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WPG
6 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
4 wins
Total goals32 – 24
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game3.2 / 2.4
Shots per game27.2 / 30.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 4 | 23 - 27 | View |
| Dec 15, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 2 | 31 - 25 | View |
| Feb 26, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 1 | 39 - 24 | View |
| Dec 28, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 4 | 35 - 23 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 30 | View |
| Jan 20, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 1 | 29 - 35 | View |
| Jan 21, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 1 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Dec 20, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
1 - 5 | 36 - 24 | View |
| Apr 10, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 3 | 25 - 34 | View |
| Mar 24, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
5 - 2 | 33 - 24 | View |