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Winnipeg Jets vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 22, 2026.

March 22, 2026 · 11:00 AM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

112:20 together · 10 games

xG share49.3%
Corsi for / against
109 / 91
Fenwick for / against
78 / 66
Corsi share
54.5%
Fenwick share
54.2%
xG for / against
5.10 / 5.24
Defense pair

118:28 together · 10 games

xG share52.0%
Corsi for / against
113 / 114
Fenwick for / against
83 / 77
Corsi share
49.8%
Fenwick share
51.9%
xG for / against
5.49 / 5.06
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

149:30 together · 10 games

xG share55.2%
Corsi for / against
143 / 129
Fenwick for / against
106 / 104
Corsi share
52.6%
Fenwick share
50.5%
xG for / against
6.63 / 5.39
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Connor Hellebuyck

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Mar 21

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
85.0
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
26.8

Igor Shesterkin

New York Rangers · Last start: Mar 19

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
169
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
30.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.83
xG against / game
2.88
xG differential / game
-0.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.50
xG against / game
3.46
xG differential / game
-0.96

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.4
Corsi share (%)
50.7
Fenwick share (%)
50.5
Faceoff win %
53.0
Penalties / game
1.5

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 10.8% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.8
Corsi share (%)
45.5
Fenwick share (%)
43.3
Faceoff win %
49.6
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 23.3 · Shooting: 17.2% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
11Points15
0.500Points %0.577
27Goals for41
31Goals against36
-4Goal differential5
L1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Winnipeg Jets WPG road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
5Games6
2Wins6
6Points12
-1Goal differential19
Last 10 games
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
4-4-2Record5-4-1
10Points11
24Goals for34
27Goals against32
-3Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Winnipeg Jets WPG 5 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 5 wins
Total goals27 – 28
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game2.7 / 2.8
Shots per game31.5 / 32.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 12, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
6 - 3 17 - 26 View
Mar 11, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 22 - 24 View
Nov 12, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
6 - 3 33 - 36 View
Mar 19, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 2 27 - 41 View
Oct 30, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 2 26 - 29 View
Feb 20, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 1 21 - 51 View
Oct 14, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 4 41 - 34 View
Apr 19, 2022
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
0 - 3 31 - 34 View
Mar 6, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 1 22 - 46 View
Feb 11, 2020
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 1 32 - 44 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.