Away team
Winnipeg Jets
44.0%
Fair American
+127
Fair decimal
2.27
Winnipeg Jets vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 27, 2026
NHL matchup
Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 27, 2026.
November 27, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New York Islanders at 56.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New York Islanders
56.0%
Fair American
-127
Fair decimal
1.79
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 27, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.07
- ROI
- -51.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -0.82
- ROI
- -13.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.07
- ROI
- -51.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- -0.28
- ROI
- -5.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -3.13
- ROI
- -44.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 3-0
- Net units
- 1.72
- ROI
- 57.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
135:56 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 130
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 104
- Corsi share
- 55.0%
- Fenwick share
- 53.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.78 / 7.59
Defense pair
121:50 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 114 / 112
- Fenwick for / against
- 83 / 81
- Corsi share
- 50.4%
- Fenwick share
- 50.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.74 / 5.31
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
54:55 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 51 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 37 / 43
- Corsi share
- 47.7%
- Fenwick share
- 46.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.96 / 3.35
Defense pair
121:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 86 / 63
- Corsi share
- 59.4%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.72 / 4.44
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Winnipeg Jets
Expected starter unavailable.
New York Islanders
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Stuart Skinner
Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 136
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 38.2
Ilya Sorokin
New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 135
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 28.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
- xG for / game
- 2.87
- xG against / game
- 3.38
- xG differential / game
- -0.51
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.97
- xG against / game
- 3.30
- xG differential / game
- -0.33
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.4
- Faceoff win %
- 45.1
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 56.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WPG
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 12 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.545 |
| 27 | Goals for | 32 |
| 31 | Goals against | 29 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 3 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
WPG road
|
Metric |
NYI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Points | 9 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
WPG
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 10 | Points | 12 |
| 24 | Goals for | 31 |
| 27 | Goals against | 27 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WPG
4 wins
10
games reviewed
NYI
6 wins
Total goals26 – 33
Goal differential
-7
/
+7
Goals per game2.6 / 3.3
Shots per game28.4 / 31.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
4 - 5 | 27 - 22 | View |
| Oct 13, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
New York Islanders
|
5 - 2 | 26 - 35 | View |
| Mar 4, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 29 | View |
| Feb 7, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 27 | View |
| Mar 23, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 6 | 35 - 39 | View |
| Jan 16, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 4 | 37 - 44 | View |
| Feb 26, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
4 - 0 | 24 - 23 | View |
| Feb 22, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 2 | 26 - 22 | View |
| Mar 11, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 5 | 29 - 38 | View |
| Nov 6, 2021 |
New York Islanders
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 0 | 31 - 24 | View |