Away team
Winnipeg Jets
36.5%
Fair American
+174
Fair decimal
2.74
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 26, 2026
NHL matchup
Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 26, 2026.
December 26, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Minnesota Wild at 63.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Minnesota Wild
63.5%
Fair American
-174
Fair decimal
1.57
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 26, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 1-4
- Net units
- -3.07
- ROI
- -61.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -1.82
- ROI
- -26.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.07
- ROI
- -51.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 2.96
- ROI
- 42.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 7-2
- Net units
- 2.61
- ROI
- 29.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
137:51 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 158 / 124
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 97
- Corsi share
- 56.0%
- Fenwick share
- 55.3%
- xG for / against
- 7.87 / 6.99
Defense pair
118:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 120 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 88 / 71
- Corsi share
- 55.3%
- Fenwick share
- 55.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.38 / 4.83
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
122:56 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 156 / 79
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 63
- Corsi share
- 66.4%
- Fenwick share
- 65.6%
- xG for / against
- 9.91 / 4.10
Defense pair
95:18 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 62
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 42
- Corsi share
- 67.0%
- Fenwick share
- 70.0%
- xG for / against
- 7.48 / 3.46
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Winnipeg Jets
Expected starter unavailable.
Minnesota Wild
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Clay Stevenson
Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 108
- Save %
- 87.0
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 38.9
Jesper Wallstedt
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 120
- Save %
- 92.5
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 31.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
- xG for / game
- 2.86
- xG against / game
- 3.31
- xG differential / game
- -0.45
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.93
- xG against / game
- 2.71
- xG differential / game
- 1.21
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.5
- Faceoff win %
- 45.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 8.3% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WPG
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 20 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.714 |
| 28 | Goals for | 44 |
| 36 | Goals against | 31 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 13 |
| L2 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
WPG road
|
Metric |
MIN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 4 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Points | 8 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
WPG
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 8 | Points | 15 |
| 22 | Goals for | 33 |
| 30 | Goals against | 23 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 10 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WPG
8 wins
10
games reviewed
MIN
2 wins
Total goals39 – 21
Goal differential
+18
/
-18
Goals per game3.9 / 2.1
Shots per game27.9 / 29.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 5 | 21 - 25 | View |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Minnesota Wild
|
6 - 2 | 29 - 34 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
4 - 3 | 19 - 26 | View |
| Nov 23, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 0 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 3 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Dec 21, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
0 - 5 | 19 - 24 | View |
| Nov 25, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 1 | 32 - 44 | View |
| Oct 13, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
1 - 2 | 27 - 35 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 2 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Feb 20, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 6 | 39 - 30 | View |