Skip to content

Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 4, 2026.

October 4, 2026 · 12:00 PM CST
Away

Winnipeg Jets

4-5-3

3
Final
Home

Detroit Red Wings

5-4-3

2 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Detroit Red Wings at 56.7% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Winnipeg Jets logo
Away team

Winnipeg Jets

43.3%
Fair American +131
Fair decimal 2.31
Best market -105 · DraftKings
Market implied 51.2%
Edge -7.9%
Expected value -15.5%
Calculate value
Detroit Red Wings logo
Home team

Detroit Red Wings

56.7%
Fair American -131
Fair decimal 1.76
Best market -108 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 51.9%
Edge +4.8%
Expected value +9.2%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 4, 2026.

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%

Value Picks

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Winnipeg Jets

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

11:27 together · 1 game

xG share65.7%
Corsi for / against
13 / 15
Fenwick for / against
13 / 11
Corsi share
46.4%
Fenwick share
54.2%
xG for / against
0.73 / 0.38
Defense pair

12:56 together · 1 game

xG share43.6%
Corsi for / against
15 / 16
Fenwick for / against
11 / 13
Corsi share
48.4%
Fenwick share
45.8%
xG for / against
0.38 / 0.50
All observed combinations

Detroit Red Wings

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

13:55 together · 1 game

xG share19.7%
Corsi for / against
10 / 11
Fenwick for / against
5 / 10
Corsi share
47.6%
Fenwick share
33.3%
xG for / against
0.17 / 0.69
Defense pair

13:51 together · 1 game

xG share27.0%
Corsi for / against
9 / 8
Fenwick for / against
5 / 8
Corsi share
52.9%
Fenwick share
38.5%
xG for / against
0.20 / 0.54
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Stuart Skinner

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 2

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
30
Save %
86.7
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
33.3

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 2

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
20
Save %
95.0
Goals allowed
1
Close-range shots %
30.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
3.95
xG against / game
2.99
xG differential / game
0.96

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
1.69
xG against / game
2.32
xG differential / game
-0.63

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
70.0
Corsi share (%)
48.6
Fenwick share (%)
51.4
Faceoff win %
48.3
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 33.0 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Detroit Red Wings

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
45.0
Corsi share (%)
51.1
Fenwick share (%)
48.3
Faceoff win %
53.0
Penalties / game
6.0

Shots / game: 22.0 · Shooting: 0.0% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
11Points13
0.458Points %0.542
28Goals for33
36Goals against37
-8Goal differential-4
L2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Winnipeg Jets WPG road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
5Games7
2Wins3
6Points7
-1Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
3-5-2Record5-2-3
8Points13
22Goals for31
30Goals against32
-8Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Winnipeg Jets WPG 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 5 wins
Total goals34 – 28
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game3.4 / 2.8
Shots per game30.4 / 28.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 24, 2026
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
5 - 1 31 - 27 View
Dec 31, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 24 - 19 View
Jan 4, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 2 29 - 23 View
Oct 30, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 2 29 - 21 View
Dec 20, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 5 28 - 41 View
Oct 26, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 1 29 - 36 View
Mar 31, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 6 25 - 29 View
Jan 10, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 7 37 - 23 View
Apr 6, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 1 35 - 33 View
Jan 13, 2022
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 0 32 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings WPG DET