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Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 15, 2026

NHL matchup

Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 15, 2026.

October 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Winnipeg Jets

4-4-3

3
Final
Home

Chicago Blackhawks

3-8-0

4 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Chicago Blackhawks at 50.3% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Winnipeg Jets logo
Away team

Winnipeg Jets

49.7%
Fair American +101
Fair decimal 2.01
Best market -126 · FanDuel
Market implied 55.8%
Edge -6.1%
Expected value -10.9%
Calculate value
Chicago Blackhawks logo
Home team

Chicago Blackhawks

50.3%
Fair American -101
Fair decimal 1.99
Best market +117 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 46.1%
Edge +4.2%
Expected value +9.2%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 15, 2026.

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
-0.07
ROI
-3.7%

Value Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
2.18
ROI
72.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
3
Record
1-2
Net units
-1.07
ROI
-35.8%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Winnipeg Jets

6 / 6 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

79:59 together · 6 games

xG share54.0%
Corsi for / against
96 / 89
Fenwick for / against
78 / 68
Corsi share
51.9%
Fenwick share
53.4%
xG for / against
5.08 / 4.33
Defense pair

54:58 together · 6 games

xG share42.2%
Corsi for / against
42 / 67
Fenwick for / against
34 / 45
Corsi share
38.5%
Fenwick share
43.0%
xG for / against
1.65 / 2.26
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

7 / 7 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

59:21 together · 7 games

xG share46.6%
Corsi for / against
45 / 52
Fenwick for / against
37 / 38
Corsi share
46.4%
Fenwick share
49.3%
xG for / against
2.05 / 2.34
Defense pair

68:41 together · 7 games

xG share36.7%
Corsi for / against
36 / 63
Fenwick for / against
30 / 45
Corsi share
36.4%
Fenwick share
40.0%
xG for / against
1.71 / 2.95
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Winnipeg Jets

Stuart Skinner 71.3%
Other eligible goalies

Why Stuart Skinner?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.755
Team win pct before
-0.366
Started last game
-0.355
Won previous appearance
+0.238
Goalie win pct before
+0.113
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 15, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Chicago Blackhawks

Spencer Knight 78.7%
Other eligible goalies

Why Spencer Knight?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team win pct before
+0.513
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.502
Started last game
-0.309
Won previous appearance
+0.305
Goalie team start share
+0.196
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 15, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Stuart Skinner

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 13

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
121
Save %
91.7
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
31.4

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 13

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
157
Save %
88.5
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
39.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.75
xG against / game
3.03
xG differential / game
-0.28

6 / 6 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.03
xG against / game
3.61
xG differential / game
-1.58

7 / 7 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

6 / 6 games covered

Attempts / game
57.0
Corsi share (%)
47.2
Fenwick share (%)
47.0
Faceoff win %
45.5
Penalties / game
2.83

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

7 / 7 games covered

Attempts / game
43.6
Corsi share (%)
42.0
Fenwick share (%)
41.2
Faceoff win %
43.5
Penalties / game
3.43

Shots / game: 20.9 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
11Points6
0.500Points %0.273
27Goals for24
31Goals against43
-4Goal differential-19
L1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Winnipeg Jets WPG road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
5Games7
2Wins3
6Points6
-1Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
4-4-2Record3-7-0
10Points6
24Goals for22
27Goals against38
-3Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Winnipeg Jets WPG 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 2 wins
Total goals30 – 22
Goal differential +8 / -8
Goals per game3.0 / 2.2
Shots per game32.3 / 24.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 31, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 24 - 21 View
Mar 3, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 3 20 - 32 View
Jan 19, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
0 - 2 32 - 24 View
Oct 30, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 6 24 - 32 View
Apr 12, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 4 42 - 32 View
Dec 7, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 2 29 - 14 View
Oct 11, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 26 - 35 View
Feb 23, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2 31 - 35 View
Jan 11, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 21 - 28 View
Dec 27, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 2 38 - 25 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings WPG CHI