Away team
Washington Capitals
46.0%
Fair American
+117
Fair decimal
2.17
Washington Capitals vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 7, 2026
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Vancouver Canucks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 7, 2026.
December 7, 2026
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Vancouver Canucks at 54.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Vancouver Canucks
54.0%
Fair American
-117
Fair decimal
1.85
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 7, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 1.42
- ROI
- 23.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 2-11
- Net units
- -6.64
- ROI
- -51.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 90.9%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
41:39 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 41 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 27
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.2%
- xG for / against
- 2.56 / 1.53
Defense pair
87:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 80
- Corsi share
- 42.6%
- Fenwick share
- 43.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.29 / 4.54
Vancouver Canucks
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
Vancouver Canucks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 79
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 25.3
Leevi Meriläinen
Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 154
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 35.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.53
- xG against / game
- 3.37
- xG differential / game
- 0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vancouver Canucks
- xG for / game
- 2.15
- xG against / game
- 4.32
- xG differential / game
- -2.17
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.8
- Faceoff win %
- 50.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
Vancouver Canucks
9 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 44.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 40.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 38.9
- Faceoff win %
- 46.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.67
Shots / game: 18.6 · Shooting: 10.8% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| 0.600 | Points % | 0.250 |
| 34 | Goals for | 43 |
| 32 | Goals against | 65 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -22 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
VAN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Points | 2 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -8 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 1-8-1 |
| 12 | Points | 3 |
| 34 | Goals for | 24 |
| 32 | Goals against | 47 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -23 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
5 wins
10
games reviewed
VAN
5 wins
Total goals30 – 27
Goal differential
+3
/
-3
Goals per game3.0 / 2.7
Shots per game29.6 / 27.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
3 - 4 | 32 - 25 | View |
| Oct 19, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 3 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Jan 25, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 2 | 33 - 25 | View |
| Jan 8, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 2 | 31 - 18 | View |
| Mar 16, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
2 - 1 | 24 - 22 | View |
| Feb 11, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Nov 29, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
5 - 1 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Oct 17, 2022 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 6 | 30 - 30 | View |
| Mar 11, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
4 - 3 | 34 - 26 | View |
| Jan 16, 2022 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 2 | 32 - 33 | View |