Away team
Washington Capitals
62.0%
Fair American
-163
Fair decimal
1.61
Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 21, 2026
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 21, 2026.
December 21, 2026
· 12:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Washington Capitals
at 62.0%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Toronto Maple Leafs
38.0%
Fair American
+163
Fair decimal
2.63
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 78 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 263 | Goals for | 253 |
| 244 | Goals against | 299 |
| 19 | Goal differential | -46 |
| W4 | Current streak | L5 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 18 | Wins | 18 |
| 40 | Points | 44 |
| -11 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 16 | Points | 5 |
| 43 | Goals for | 28 |
| 33 | Goals against | 47 |
| 10 | Goal differential | -19 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
5 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
5 wins
Total goals29 – 30
Goal differential
-1
/
+1
Goals per game2.9 / 3.0
Shots per game27.5 / 27.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 0 | 20 - 21 | View |
| Dec 18, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Washington Capitals
|
0 - 4 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 4 | 22 - 34 | View |
| Dec 28, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 2 | 32 - 37 | View |
| Dec 6, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 1 | 26 - 21 | View |
| Nov 13, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 3 | 34 - 27 | View |
| Mar 28, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 5 | 24 - 48 | View |
| Mar 20, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Washington Capitals
|
7 - 3 | 29 - 21 | View |
| Oct 24, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 1 | 17 - 38 | View |
| Jan 29, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 5 | 24 - 27 | View |