Away team
Washington Capitals
34.6%
Fair American
+189
Fair decimal
2.89
Washington Capitals vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 10, 2026
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Seattle Kraken
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 10, 2026.
December 10, 2026
· 8:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Seattle Kraken at 65.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Seattle Kraken
65.4%
Fair American
-189
Fair decimal
1.53
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 10, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 1.42
- ROI
- 23.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 2.88
- ROI
- 57.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 5-5
- Net units
- 1.57
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.59
- ROI
- 79.6%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
41:39 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 41 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 27
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.2%
- xG for / against
- 2.56 / 1.53
Defense pair
87:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 80
- Corsi share
- 42.6%
- Fenwick share
- 43.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.29 / 4.54
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
81:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 86 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 61
- Corsi share
- 48.9%
- Fenwick share
- 50.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.48 / 3.40
Defense pair
152:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 117 / 221
- Fenwick for / against
- 81 / 162
- Corsi share
- 34.6%
- Fenwick share
- 33.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.10 / 8.52
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
Seattle Kraken
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 79
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 25.3
Joey Daccord
Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 162
- Save %
- 87.0
- Goals allowed
- 21
- Close-range shots %
- 34.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.53
- xG against / game
- 3.37
- xG differential / game
- 0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Seattle Kraken
- xG for / game
- 2.74
- xG against / game
- 3.63
- xG differential / game
- -0.89
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.8
- Faceoff win %
- 50.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 42.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 43.4
- Faceoff win %
- 52.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
SEA
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 15 |
| 0.600 | Points % | 0.625 |
| 34 | Goals for | 45 |
| 32 | Goals against | 42 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 3 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
SEA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 5 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Points | 6 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 0 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
SEA
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 12 | Points | 13 |
| 34 | Goals for | 38 |
| 32 | Goals against | 38 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
6 wins
10
games reviewed
SEA
4 wins
Total goals29 – 24
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game2.9 / 2.4
Shots per game28.1 / 26.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Washington Capitals
|
5 - 3 | 27 - 36 | View |
| Jan 27, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Seattle Kraken
|
1 - 5 | 20 - 32 | View |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 4 | 19 - 34 | View |
| Mar 9, 2025 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 4 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Jan 23, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Seattle Kraken
|
3 - 0 | 32 - 22 | View |
| Mar 14, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Seattle Kraken
|
2 - 1 | 23 - 24 | View |
| Jan 11, 2024 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 26 | View |
| Dec 9, 2022 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 4 | 26 - 38 | View |
| Dec 1, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Seattle Kraken
|
2 - 3 | 23 - 25 | View |
| Mar 5, 2022 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 25 | View |