Away team
Washington Capitals
36.7%
Fair American
+172
Fair decimal
2.72
Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 13, 2027
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 13, 2027.
March 13, 2027
· 2:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Pittsburgh Penguins at 63.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Pittsburgh Penguins
63.3%
Fair American
-172
Fair decimal
1.58
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 13, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 1.42
- ROI
- 23.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 2.59
- ROI
- 32.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 0.85
- ROI
- 10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.38
- ROI
- -9.5%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
41:39 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 41 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 27
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.2%
- xG for / against
- 2.56 / 1.53
Defense pair
87:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 80
- Corsi share
- 42.6%
- Fenwick share
- 43.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.29 / 4.54
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:36 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 50
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair
83:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 70
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 5.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 79
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 25.3
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.53
- xG against / game
- 3.37
- xG differential / game
- 0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.33
- xG differential / game
- -0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.8
- Faceoff win %
- 50.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 11 |
| 0.600 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 34 | Goals for | 40 |
| 32 | Goals against | 40 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 5 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Points | 8 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| 34 | Goals for | 27 |
| 32 | Goals against | 35 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
6 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
4 wins
Total goals40 – 28
Goal differential
+12
/
-12
Goals per game4.0 / 2.8
Shots per game29.0 / 28.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 27 | View |
| Apr 12, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
0 - 3 | 24 - 26 | View |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
6 - 3 | 31 - 12 | View |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 31 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 5 | 20 - 38 | View |
| Feb 22, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
8 - 3 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 4 | 19 - 32 | View |
| Nov 8, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 2 | 32 - 34 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 1 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
6 - 0 | 29 - 39 | View |