Forward trio
43:20 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 28 / 47
- Fenwick for / against
- 20 / 39
- Corsi share
- 37.3%
- Fenwick share
- 33.9%
- xG for / against
- 1.28 / 2.48
Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 11, 2026
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 11, 2026.
April 11, 2026
· 2:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
122:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 120
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 85
- Corsi share
- 43.9%
- Fenwick share
- 45.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.48 / 5.00
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
81:15 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 70 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 55
- Corsi share
- 47.3%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.90 / 1.88
Defense pair
151:12 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 157 / 122
- Fenwick for / against
- 113 / 102
- Corsi share
- 56.3%
- Fenwick share
- 52.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.44 / 6.50
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Apr 8
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 30.8
Stuart Skinner
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Apr 9
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 129
- Save %
- 88.4
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 43.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 2.64
- xG against / game
- 3.53
- xG differential / game
- -0.89
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.50
- xG against / game
- 3.02
- xG differential / game
- 0.49
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 49.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 43.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.8
Shots / game: 23.7 · Shooting: 14.8% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.2
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 16.0% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 11 |
| 0.600 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 34 | Goals for | 40 |
| 32 | Goals against | 40 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 5 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Points | 8 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| 34 | Goals for | 27 |
| 32 | Goals against | 35 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
4 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
6 wins
Total goals33 – 33
Goal differential
0
/
0
Goals per game3.3 / 3.3
Shots per game28.1 / 32.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 31 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 5 | 20 - 38 | View |
| Feb 22, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
8 - 3 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 4 | 19 - 32 | View |
| Nov 8, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 2 | 32 - 34 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 1 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
6 - 0 | 29 - 39 | View |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Oct 13, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 0 | 35 - 19 | View |
| Mar 25, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 4 | 34 - 40 | View |