Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 11, 2026

NHL matchup

Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 11, 2026.

April 11, 2026 · 2:00 PM CST
Away

Washington Capitals

43-30-9
at
Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

41-25-16
Model favourite Pittsburgh Penguins at 61.1%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Washington Capitals logo
Away team

Washington Capitals

38.9%
Fair American +157
Fair decimal 2.57
Best market +110 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 47.6%
Edge -8.7%
Expected value -18.3%
Calculate value
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Home team

Pittsburgh Penguins

61.1%
Fair American -157
Fair decimal 1.64
Best market -122 · MyBookie.ag
Market implied 55.0%
Edge +6.1%
Expected value +11.2%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
95Points98
0.579Points %0.598
263Goals for293
244Goals against268
19Goal differential25
W4Current streakL3
Road versus home
Washington Capitals WSH road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
41Games41
18Wins20
40Points48
-11Goal differential7
Last 10 games
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
8-2-0Record5-5-0
16Points10
43Goals for46
33Goals against40
10Goal differential6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Washington Capitals WSH 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 6 wins
Total goals33 – 33
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game3.3 / 3.3
Shots per game28.1 / 32.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 6, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 5 30 - 31 View
Apr 17, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 5 20 - 38 View
Feb 22, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
8 - 3 30 - 32 View
Jan 18, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
1 - 4 19 - 32 View
Nov 8, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 2 32 - 34 View
Apr 4, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 1 24 - 31 View
Mar 7, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 0 29 - 39 View
Jan 2, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 22 - 35 View
Oct 13, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 0 35 - 19 View
Mar 25, 2023
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 4 34 - 40 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings WSH PIT