Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 11, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins matchup on April 11, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Pittsburgh Penguins a 61.1% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Pittsburgh Penguins
(61.1%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
April 11, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Washington Capitals
38.9%
Fair American: +157
Fair Decimal: 2.57
Best Market: +110 · BetOnline.ag
Market Implied: 47.6%
Edge: -8.7%
EV: -18.3%
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Pittsburgh Penguins
61.1%
Fair American: -157
Fair Decimal: 1.64
Best Market: -122 · MyBookie.ag
Market Implied: 55.0%
Edge: +6.1%
EV: +11.2%
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 98 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.598 |
| 263 | Goals For | 293 |
| 244 | Goals Against | 268 |
| 19 | Goal Differential | 25 |
| W4 | Current Streak | L3 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
WSH (Road)
|
Metric |
PIT (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 18 | Wins | 20 |
| 40 | Points | 48 |
| -11 | Goal Differential | 7 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 16 | Points | 10 |
| 43 | Goals For | 46 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 10 | Goal Differential | 6 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
WSH
|
H2H Summary |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 33 | Total Goals | 33 |
| 0 | Goal Differential | 0 |
| 3.3 | Goals / Game | 3.3 |
| 28.1 | Shots / Game | 32.5 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 31 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
2 - 5 | 20 - 38 | View |
| Feb 22, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
8 - 3 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
1 - 4 | 19 - 32 | View |
| Nov 8, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
4 - 2 | 32 - 34 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
4 - 1 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
6 - 0 | 29 - 39 | View |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Oct 13, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
4 - 0 | 35 - 19 | View |
| Mar 25, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
3 - 4 | 34 - 40 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.