Away team
Washington Capitals
40.1%
Fair American
+149
Fair decimal
2.49
Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 10, 2027
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 10, 2027.
April 10, 2027
· 11:30 AM CST
Model V2 pick:
Philadelphia Flyers at 59.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Philadelphia Flyers
59.9%
Fair American
-149
Fair decimal
1.67
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Apr 10, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 1.42
- ROI
- 23.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 1.36
- ROI
- 34.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
41:39 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 41 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 27
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.2%
- xG for / against
- 2.56 / 1.53
Defense pair
87:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 80
- Corsi share
- 42.6%
- Fenwick share
- 43.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.29 / 4.54
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
49:44 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 40 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 22 / 25
- Corsi share
- 51.3%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 2.09 / 1.31
Defense pair
106:21 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 92
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 59
- Corsi share
- 51.1%
- Fenwick share
- 53.9%
- xG for / against
- 4.34 / 3.84
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 79
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 25.3
Joseph Woll
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 134
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 32.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 10, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.53
- xG against / game
- 3.37
- xG differential / game
- 0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.65
- xG against / game
- 3.44
- xG differential / game
- -0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 10, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.8
- Faceoff win %
- 50.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.6
- Faceoff win %
- 49.8
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 23.3 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| 0.600 | Points % | 0.346 |
| 34 | Goals for | 24 |
| 32 | Goals against | 42 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -18 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
PHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Points | 6 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| 34 | Goals for | 20 |
| 32 | Goals against | 29 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
8 wins
10
games reviewed
PHI
2 wins
Total goals36 – 25
Goal differential
+11
/
-11
Goals per game3.6 / 2.5
Shots per game22.4 / 24.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 6 | 24 - 18 | View |
| Mar 11, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 4 | 22 - 22 | View |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 3 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 22 | View |
| Mar 20, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 16 | View |
| Feb 6, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 3 | 18 - 22 | View |
| Oct 23, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 6 | 29 - 25 | View |
| Oct 22, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 18 | View |
| Apr 16, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 1 | 18 - 28 | View |
| Mar 1, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 5 | 23 - 21 | View |