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Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 1, 2027

NHL matchup

Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 1, 2027.

April 1, 2027 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

Washington Capitals

7-4-0

40.0%
at
Home

Philadelphia Flyers

3-8-4

60.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Philadelphia Flyers at 60.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Washington Capitals logo
Away team

Washington Capitals

40.0%
Fair American +150
Fair decimal 2.5
Calculate value
Philadelphia Flyers logo
Home team

Philadelphia Flyers

60.0%
Fair American -150
Fair decimal 1.67
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Apr 1, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:45 together · 7 games

xG share66.0%
Corsi for / against
55 / 44
Fenwick for / against
43 / 30
Corsi share
55.6%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
3.53 / 1.82
Defense pair

85:54 together · 10 games

xG share47.9%
Corsi for / against
77 / 105
Fenwick for / against
60 / 80
Corsi share
42.3%
Fenwick share
42.9%
xG for / against
4.07 / 4.43
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

66:54 together · 9 games

xG share59.8%
Corsi for / against
50 / 52
Fenwick for / against
30 / 37
Corsi share
49.0%
Fenwick share
44.8%
xG for / against
3.16 / 2.13
Defense pair

113:05 together · 9 games

xG share50.6%
Corsi for / against
104 / 100
Fenwick for / against
73 / 66
Corsi share
51.0%
Fenwick share
52.5%
xG for / against
4.75 / 4.64
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Logan Thompson

Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
31.0

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
137
Save %
87.6
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
31.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 1, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

xG for / game
3.52
xG against / game
3.20
xG differential / game
0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
2.73
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-0.57

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 1, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.7
Corsi share (%)
48.1
Fenwick share (%)
49.5
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.8
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
46.4
Faceoff win %
49.8
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 24.6 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
14Points10
0.636Points %0.333
39Goals for29
34Goals against51
5Goal differential-22
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Washington Capitals WSH road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
3Games8
1Wins2
2Points7
-1Goal differential-11
Last 10 games
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
6-4-0Record3-5-2
12Points8
34Goals for23
32Goals against32
2Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Washington Capitals WSH 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 2 wins
Total goals36 – 25
Goal differential +11 / -11
Goals per game3.6 / 2.5
Shots per game23.3 / 24.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 28, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
2 - 5 25 - 30 View
Mar 31, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 6 24 - 18 View
Mar 11, 2026
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 4 22 - 22 View
Feb 25, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
1 - 3 24 - 29 View
Feb 3, 2026
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 4 28 - 22 View
Mar 20, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
2 - 3 28 - 16 View
Feb 6, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 3 18 - 22 View
Oct 23, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 6 29 - 25 View
Oct 22, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 1 29 - 18 View
Apr 16, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 1 18 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings WSH PHI