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Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 8, 2027

NHL matchup

Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 8, 2027.

April 8, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Washington Capitals

6-4-0

35.8%
at
Home

Ottawa Senators

8-5-0

64.2% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Ottawa Senators at 64.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Washington Capitals logo
Away team

Washington Capitals

35.8%
Fair American +179
Fair decimal 2.79
Calculate value
Ottawa Senators logo
Home team

Ottawa Senators

64.2%
Fair American -179
Fair decimal 1.56
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Apr 8, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

41:39 together · 6 games

xG share62.6%
Corsi for / against
41 / 38
Fenwick for / against
32 / 27
Corsi share
51.9%
Fenwick share
54.2%
xG for / against
2.56 / 1.53
Defense pair

87:35 together · 10 games

xG share48.6%
Corsi for / against
78 / 105
Fenwick for / against
61 / 80
Corsi share
42.6%
Fenwick share
43.3%
xG for / against
4.29 / 4.54
All observed combinations

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

39:16 together · 9 games

xG share42.5%
Corsi for / against
34 / 43
Fenwick for / against
21 / 39
Corsi share
44.2%
Fenwick share
35.0%
xG for / against
1.84 / 2.49
Defense pair

81:43 together · 9 games

xG share62.9%
Corsi for / against
98 / 76
Fenwick for / against
67 / 46
Corsi share
56.3%
Fenwick share
59.3%
xG for / against
4.60 / 2.72
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Charlie Lindgren

Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
79
Save %
88.6
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
25.3

Jonas Johansson

Ottawa Senators · Last start: Oct 27

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
56
Save %
89.3
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
33.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 8, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

xG for / game
3.53
xG against / game
3.37
xG differential / game
0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Ottawa Senators

xG for / game
2.85
xG against / game
2.73
xG differential / game
0.12

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 8, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.8
Corsi share (%)
46.4
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
50.2
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.2
Corsi share (%)
49.4
Fenwick share (%)
48.9
Faceoff win %
52.4
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
12Points16
0.600Points %0.615
34Goals for39
32Goals against38
2Goal differential1
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Washington Capitals WSH road
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT home
3Games7
1Wins5
2Points10
-1Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
6-4-0Record6-4-0
12Points12
34Goals for29
32Goals against30
2Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Washington Capitals WSH 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Ottawa Senators OTT 6 wins
Total goals30 – 37
Goal differential -7 / +7
Goals per game3.0 / 3.7
Shots per game25.8 / 31.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 18, 2026
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
1 - 4 35 - 25 View
Jan 1, 2026
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
3 - 4 29 - 32 View
Oct 25, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
7 - 1 34 - 13 View
Mar 3, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 5 37 - 41 View
Jan 30, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
4 - 5 35 - 34 View
Jan 16, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
1 - 0 26 - 24 View
Apr 7, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 2 21 - 22 View
Feb 26, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 6 21 - 20 View
Oct 18, 2023
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
1 - 6 24 - 29 View
Dec 29, 2022
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 3 45 - 23 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
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