Away team
Washington Capitals
40.9%
Fair American
+144
Fair decimal
2.44
Washington Capitals vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 26, 2027
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at New York Rangers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 26, 2027.
February 26, 2027
· 7:00 PM MBT
Model V2 pick:
New York Rangers at 59.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New York Rangers
59.1%
Fair American
-144
Fair decimal
1.69
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 26, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 7-2
- Net units
- 3.23
- ROI
- 35.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 1.21
- ROI
- 20.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 3-1
- Net units
- 2.41
- ROI
- 60.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 4-3
- Net units
- -0.40
- ROI
- -5.7%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
9 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Partial coverage: 9 / 10 selected games. Results use validated games only. Games awaiting complete shift or play-by-play data are excluded, not counted as zero or replaced by older games.
Forward trio
60:55 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 66 / 59
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 40
- Corsi share
- 52.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.82 / 2.37
Defense pair
74:46 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 91
- Fenwick for / against
- 51 / 69
- Corsi share
- 40.5%
- Fenwick share
- 42.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.24 / 4.00
New York Rangers
9 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Partial coverage: 9 / 10 selected games. Results use validated games only. Games awaiting complete shift or play-by-play data are excluded, not counted as zero or replaced by older games.
Forward trio
78:11 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 74 / 77
- Fenwick for / against
- 54 / 59
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 47.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.24 / 2.89
Defense pair
133:20 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 137 / 146
- Fenwick for / against
- 102 / 93
- Corsi share
- 48.4%
- Fenwick share
- 52.3%
- xG for / against
- 7.32 / 4.33
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
New York Rangers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 29
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 107
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 28.0
James Reimer
New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 26
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 8
- Save %
- 62.5
- Goals allowed
- 3
- Close-range shots %
- 37.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.54
- xG against / game
- 3.05
- xG differential / game
- 0.49
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 3.18
- xG against / game
- 2.96
- xG differential / game
- 0.22
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.2
- Faceoff win %
- 49.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 29.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 15 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.536 |
| 43 | Goals for | 44 |
| 37 | Goals against | 42 |
| 6 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W3 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
NYR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 7 |
| 2 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Points | 12 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 16 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3-0 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 14 | Points | 9 |
| 37 | Goals for | 33 |
| 32 | Goals against | 36 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
7 wins
10
games reviewed
NYR
3 wins
Total goals33 – 32
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game3.3 / 3.2
Shots per game27.4 / 26.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 |
New York Rangers
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 3 | 22 - 27 | View |
| Apr 5, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 8 | 21 - 32 | View |
| Dec 31, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 6 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Dec 23, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Washington Capitals
|
7 - 3 | 21 - 32 | View |
| Oct 12, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 0 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Mar 5, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 2 | 26 - 17 | View |
| Jan 4, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 7 | 33 - 28 | View |
| Oct 29, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 5 | 19 - 46 | View |
| Jan 14, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Jan 13, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 3 | 27 - 21 | View |