Away team
Washington Capitals
30.5%
Fair American
+228
Fair decimal
3.28
Washington Capitals vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 12, 2026.
November 12, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New Jersey Devils at 69.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New Jersey Devils
69.5%
Fair American
-228
Fair decimal
1.44
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 12, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 6-2
- Net units
- 2.30
- ROI
- 28.7%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 7-4
- Net units
- 0.74
- ROI
- 6.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 4-3
- Net units
- 0.37
- ROI
- 5.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.65
- ROI
- 7.2%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsNew Jersey Devils
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
New Jersey Devils
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 79
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 25.3
Connor Hellebuyck
New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 27
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 18
- Save %
- 94.4
- Goals allowed
- 1
- Close-range shots %
- 55.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.52
- xG against / game
- 3.28
- xG differential / game
- 0.24
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New Jersey Devils
- xG for / game
- 3.50
- xG against / game
- 1.98
- xG differential / game
- 1.53
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.8
- Faceoff win %
- 50.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 58.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 58.0
- Faceoff win %
- 51.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.5
Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 16 |
| 0.600 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 34 | Goals for | 41 |
| 32 | Goals against | 33 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
NJD home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 8 |
| 1 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Points | 12 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 12 | Points | 14 |
| 34 | Goals for | 38 |
| 32 | Goals against | 25 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 13 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
6 wins
10
games reviewed
NJD
4 wins
Total goals38 – 36
Goal differential
+2
/
-2
Goals per game3.8 / 3.6
Shots per game30.1 / 32.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 4 | 31 - 25 | View |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 7 | 32 - 30 | View |
| Mar 20, 2026 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 2 | 31 - 28 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
New Jersey Devils
|
4 - 3 | 33 - 38 | View |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 2 | 31 - 31 | View |
| Nov 30, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
New Jersey Devils
|
6 - 5 | 32 - 27 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 2 | 33 - 25 | View |
| Oct 19, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
New Jersey Devils
|
6 - 5 | 37 - 31 | View |
| Oct 12, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Washington Capitals
|
5 - 3 | 33 - 32 | View |
| Feb 20, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 6 | 39 - 26 | View |