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Washington Capitals vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 13, 2027

NHL matchup

Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 13, 2027.

February 13, 2027 · 12:00 PM CST
Away

Washington Capitals

6-4-0

36.3%
at
Home

Montréal Canadiens

6-3-2

63.7% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Montréal Canadiens at 63.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Washington Capitals logo
Away team

Washington Capitals

36.3%
Fair American +175
Fair decimal 2.75
Calculate value
Montréal Canadiens logo
Home team

Montréal Canadiens

63.7%
Fair American -175
Fair decimal 1.57
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 13, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

41:39 together · 6 games

xG share62.6%
Corsi for / against
41 / 38
Fenwick for / against
32 / 27
Corsi share
51.9%
Fenwick share
54.2%
xG for / against
2.56 / 1.53
Defense pair

87:35 together · 10 games

xG share48.6%
Corsi for / against
78 / 105
Fenwick for / against
61 / 80
Corsi share
42.6%
Fenwick share
43.3%
xG for / against
4.29 / 4.54
All observed combinations

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

108:21 together · 10 games

xG share62.2%
Corsi for / against
165 / 82
Fenwick for / against
127 / 61
Corsi share
66.8%
Fenwick share
67.6%
xG for / against
7.88 / 4.78
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Charlie Lindgren

Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
79
Save %
88.6
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
25.3

Jacob Fowler

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
93.7
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
27.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

xG for / game
3.53
xG against / game
3.37
xG differential / game
0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.47
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.8
Corsi share (%)
46.4
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
50.2
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.6
Corsi share (%)
54.2
Fenwick share (%)
54.5
Faceoff win %
52.8
Penalties / game
5.5

Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
12Points14
0.600Points %0.636
34Goals for36
32Goals against36
2Goal differential0
W1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Washington Capitals WSH road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
3Games6
1Wins3
2Points7
-1Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
6-4-0Record5-3-2
12Points12
34Goals for33
32Goals against34
2Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Washington Capitals WSH 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 4 wins
Total goals38 – 35
Goal differential +3 / -3
Goals per game3.8 / 3.5
Shots per game32.2 / 26.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 14, 2026
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 5 30 - 23 View
Feb 28, 2026
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 6 29 - 25 View
Jan 13, 2026
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
2 - 3 26 - 42 View
Nov 20, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
8 - 4 36 - 28 View
Jan 10, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 2 30 - 17 View
Dec 7, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 2 35 - 24 View
Oct 31, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 6 15 - 34 View
Feb 17, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 3 34 - 31 View
Feb 6, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
5 - 2 26 - 39 View
Oct 21, 2023
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 3 33 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings WSH MTL