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Washington Capitals vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 6, 2027

NHL matchup

Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 6, 2027.

January 6, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Washington Capitals

6-4-0

44.6%
at
Home

Los Angeles Kings

3-5-2

55.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Los Angeles Kings at 55.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Washington Capitals logo
Away team

Washington Capitals

44.6%
Fair American +124
Fair decimal 2.24
Calculate value
Los Angeles Kings logo
Home team

Los Angeles Kings

55.4%
Fair American -124
Fair decimal 1.81
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 6, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

41:39 together · 6 games

xG share62.6%
Corsi for / against
41 / 38
Fenwick for / against
32 / 27
Corsi share
51.9%
Fenwick share
54.2%
xG for / against
2.56 / 1.53
Defense pair

87:35 together · 10 games

xG share48.6%
Corsi for / against
78 / 105
Fenwick for / against
61 / 80
Corsi share
42.6%
Fenwick share
43.3%
xG for / against
4.29 / 4.54
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

82:34 together · 8 games

xG share64.8%
Corsi for / against
116 / 73
Fenwick for / against
79 / 47
Corsi share
61.4%
Fenwick share
62.7%
xG for / against
4.89 / 2.65
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Charlie Lindgren

Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
79
Save %
88.6
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
25.3

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
140
Save %
91.4
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
30.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

xG for / game
3.53
xG against / game
3.37
xG differential / game
0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.77
xG against / game
2.93
xG differential / game
-0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.8
Corsi share (%)
46.4
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
50.2
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.7
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
12Points8
0.600Points %0.400
34Goals for27
32Goals against35
2Goal differential-8
W1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Washington Capitals WSH road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
3Games3
1Wins0
2Points0
-1Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
6-4-0Record3-5-2
12Points8
34Goals for27
32Goals against35
2Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Washington Capitals WSH 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 4 wins
Total goals24 – 25
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game2.4 / 2.5
Shots per game26.2 / 30.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 20, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
5 - 2 26 - 32 View
Dec 2, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 1 25 - 25 View
Nov 17, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
1 - 2 31 - 25 View
Mar 13, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 3 21 - 27 View
Dec 22, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
1 - 3 26 - 21 View
Jan 7, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 4 41 - 34 View
Nov 29, 2023
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1 15 - 39 View
Mar 6, 2023
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 4 22 - 41 View
Oct 22, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 4 26 - 32 View
Dec 19, 2021
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 2 24 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings WSH LAK