Forward trio
31:04 together · 4 games
- Corsi for / against
- 33 / 30
- Fenwick for / against
- 28 / 20
- Corsi share
- 52.4%
- Fenwick share
- 58.3%
- xG for / against
- 1.63 / 1.92
Washington Capitals vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 29, 2026
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 29, 2026.
January 29, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
74:52 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 79 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 61
- Corsi share
- 49.4%
- Fenwick share
- 49.2%
- xG for / against
- 3.88 / 3.85
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
121:39 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 123 / 118
- Fenwick for / against
- 90 / 77
- Corsi share
- 51.0%
- Fenwick share
- 53.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.75 / 5.39
Defense pair
130:54 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 122 / 127
- Fenwick for / against
- 94 / 82
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 53.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.42 / 5.72
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Jan 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 88.4
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 33.3
John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Jan 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 123
- Save %
- 92.7
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 31.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.27
- xG against / game
- 3.42
- xG differential / game
- -0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.33
- xG against / game
- 3.23
- xG differential / game
- 0.10
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.8
- Faceoff win %
- 51.3
- Penalties / game
- 4.8
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.8
- Faceoff win %
- 50.9
- Penalties / game
- 2.7
Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 13 |
| 0.600 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 34 | Goals for | 33 |
| 32 | Goals against | 37 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Points | 7 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 5-2-3 |
| 12 | Points | 13 |
| 34 | Goals for | 31 |
| 32 | Goals against | 32 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
5 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
5 wins
Total goals29 – 33
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game2.9 / 3.3
Shots per game28.3 / 28.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 27 | View |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Washington Capitals
|
5 - 2 | 41 - 26 | View |
| Mar 18, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 26 | View |
| Mar 7, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 5 | 19 - 28 | View |
| Dec 29, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 4 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Apr 9, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 1 | 23 - 43 | View |
| Mar 26, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 30 | View |
| Feb 27, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 8 | 21 - 31 | View |
| Feb 21, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 1 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Dec 19, 2022 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 4 | 19 - 42 | View |