Away team
Washington Capitals
45.2%
Fair American
+121
Fair decimal
2.21
Washington Capitals vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 10, 2027
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 10, 2027.
March 10, 2027
· 8:00 PM MBT
Model V2 pick:
Chicago Blackhawks at 54.8%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Chicago Blackhawks
54.8%
Fair American
-121
Fair decimal
1.82
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 10, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.86
- ROI
- 26.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.96
- ROI
- 32.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 7-2
- Net units
- 3.23
- ROI
- 35.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.46
- ROI
- 29.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 4-7
- Net units
- -2.13
- ROI
- -19.4%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
72:01 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 82 / 69
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 47
- Corsi share
- 54.3%
- Fenwick share
- 55.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 2.83
Defense pair
78:32 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 64 / 96
- Fenwick for / against
- 51 / 73
- Corsi share
- 40.0%
- Fenwick share
- 41.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.24 / 4.39
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:31 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 43 / 40
- Fenwick for / against
- 33 / 31
- Corsi share
- 51.8%
- Fenwick share
- 51.6%
- xG for / against
- 2.52 / 2.82
Defense pair
111:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 75 / 98
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 76
- Corsi share
- 43.4%
- Fenwick share
- 44.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.67 / 5.11
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Washington Capitals
Expected starter unavailable.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Nov 1
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 27.3
Arvid Soderblom
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 31
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 82
- Save %
- 82.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 31.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.53
- xG against / game
- 3.05
- xG differential / game
- 0.48
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.74
- xG against / game
- 3.62
- xG differential / game
- -0.88
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.2
- Faceoff win %
- 48.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.6
- Faceoff win %
- 41.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 24.5 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 9 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.321 |
| 44 | Goals for | 31 |
| 42 | Goals against | 53 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -22 |
| L1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
CHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 8 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 8 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| 33 | Goals for | 22 |
| 34 | Goals against | 36 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -14 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
6 wins
10
games reviewed
CHI
4 wins
Total goals42 – 26
Goal differential
+16
/
-16
Goals per game4.2 / 2.6
Shots per game29.4 / 28.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
5 - 1 | 24 - 24 | View |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 2 | 33 - 34 | View |
| Apr 4, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 5 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Dec 17, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 3 | 22 - 23 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 4 | 32 - 26 | View |
| Dec 10, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 2 | 27 - 34 | View |
| Mar 23, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 6 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Dec 13, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
7 - 3 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Dec 15, 2021 |
Washington Capitals
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 5 | 46 - 28 | View |
| Dec 2, 2021 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 3 | 28 - 28 | View |