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Washington Capitals vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 9, 2026

NHL matchup

Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 9, 2026.

January 9, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

127:12 together · 10 games

xG share50.2%
Corsi for / against
143 / 127
Fenwick for / against
104 / 92
Corsi share
53.0%
Fenwick share
53.1%
xG for / against
6.80 / 6.75
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

136:20 together · 10 games

xG share51.3%
Corsi for / against
134 / 111
Fenwick for / against
95 / 79
Corsi share
54.7%
Fenwick share
54.6%
xG for / against
5.89 / 5.59
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Logan Thompson

Washington Capitals · Last start: Jan 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
166
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
37.3

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Jan 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
119
Save %
88.2
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
37.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

xG for / game
3.40
xG against / game
3.49
xG differential / game
-0.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.75
xG against / game
3.50
xG differential / game
-0.75

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.0
Corsi share (%)
47.1
Fenwick share (%)
49.6
Faceoff win %
53.7
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 29.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.9
Corsi share (%)
49.2
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
47.9
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 24.5 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
12Points6
0.600Points %0.273
34Goals for24
32Goals against43
2Goal differential-19
W1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Washington Capitals WSH road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
3Games7
1Wins3
2Points6
-1Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Washington Capitals WSH
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
6-4-0Record3-7-0
12Points6
34Goals for22
32Goals against38
2Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Washington Capitals WSH 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 4 wins
Total goals42 – 28
Goal differential +14 / -14
Goals per game4.2 / 2.8
Shots per game30.0 / 30.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 3, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 2 33 - 34 View
Apr 4, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 5 22 - 29 View
Dec 17, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 3 22 - 23 View
Mar 9, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
1 - 4 32 - 26 View
Dec 10, 2023
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 2 27 - 34 View
Mar 23, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
1 - 6 28 - 28 View
Dec 13, 2022
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
7 - 3 30 - 29 View
Dec 15, 2021
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 5 46 - 28 View
Dec 2, 2021
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 3 28 - 28 View
Oct 20, 2019
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 3 30 - 44 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.