Forward trio
50:07 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 60 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 43 / 35
- Corsi share
- 54.1%
- Fenwick share
- 55.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.10 / 2.54
Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 7, 2026
NHL matchup
Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 7, 2026.
March 7, 2026
· 11:30 AM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
77:10 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 80 / 77
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 56
- Corsi share
- 51.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.80 / 4.65
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
70:12 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 56 / 54
- Fenwick for / against
- 38 / 42
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 47.5%
- xG for / against
- 2.60 / 2.84
Defense pair
103:33 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 60
- Corsi share
- 51.5%
- Fenwick share
- 52.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.40 / 4.13
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Mar 3
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 134
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 45.5
Joonas Korpisalo
Boston Bruins · Last start: Mar 5
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 88.2
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 44.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.12
- xG against / game
- 3.17
- xG differential / game
- -0.05
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 2.97
- xG against / game
- 3.58
- xG differential / game
- -0.61
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.3
- Faceoff win %
- 51.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 28.1 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.8
- Faceoff win %
- 54.8
- Penalties / game
- 5.1
Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 13.3% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
WSH
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 19 |
| 0.600 | Points % | 0.731 |
| 34 | Goals for | 49 |
| 32 | Goals against | 28 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 21 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
WSH road
|
Metric |
BOS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Points | 10 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 17 |
Last 10 games
|
WSH
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 12 | Points | 15 |
| 34 | Goals for | 41 |
| 32 | Goals against | 21 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 20 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
WSH
5 wins
10
games reviewed
BOS
5 wins
Total goals22 – 25
Goal differential
-3
/
+3
Goals per game2.2 / 2.5
Shots per game26.5 / 26.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 1 | 22 - 36 | View |
| Apr 1, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Boston Bruins
|
4 - 3 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 3 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Dec 23, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 4 | 11 - 22 | View |
| Apr 15, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Washington Capitals
|
0 - 2 | 16 - 25 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 20 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 0 | 29 - 18 | View |
| Apr 11, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 5 | 27 - 44 | View |
| Feb 11, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 1 | 23 - 28 | View |
| Oct 12, 2022 |
Boston Bruins
at
Washington Capitals
|
5 - 2 | 30 - 35 | View |