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Vancouver Canucks vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 7, 2026

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 7, 2026.

March 7, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

63:27 together · 8 games

xG share42.5%
Corsi for / against
50 / 57
Fenwick for / against
41 / 46
Corsi share
46.7%
Fenwick share
47.1%
xG for / against
2.60 / 3.52
Defense pair

130:24 together · 10 games

xG share39.0%
Corsi for / against
103 / 135
Fenwick for / against
83 / 95
Corsi share
43.3%
Fenwick share
46.6%
xG for / against
5.01 / 7.83
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

75:17 together · 10 games

xG share54.3%
Corsi for / against
71 / 54
Fenwick for / against
62 / 38
Corsi share
56.8%
Fenwick share
62.0%
xG for / against
4.39 / 3.69
Defense pair

110:12 together · 10 games

xG share50.6%
Corsi for / against
99 / 85
Fenwick for / against
72 / 66
Corsi share
53.8%
Fenwick share
52.2%
xG for / against
4.07 / 3.97
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Nikita Tolopilo

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Mar 6

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
139
Save %
89.2
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.7

Connor Hellebuyck

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Mar 5

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
145
Save %
90.3
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
43.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.33
xG against / game
3.80
xG differential / game
-1.47

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
3.19
xG against / game
3.28
xG differential / game
-0.09

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
46.2
Corsi share (%)
42.0
Fenwick share (%)
42.6
Faceoff win %
50.5
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 23.7 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 35.7 ft

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.0
Corsi share (%)
49.6
Fenwick share (%)
49.0
Faceoff win %
49.8
Penalties / game
2.4

Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
5Points11
0.192Points %0.500
37Goals for27
60Goals against31
-23Goal differential-4
L4Current streakL1
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
7Games6
1Wins2
3Points5
-15Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
0-9-1Record4-4-2
1Points10
20Goals for24
45Goals against27
-25Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 8 wins
Total goals28 – 38
Goal differential -10 / +10
Goals per game2.8 / 3.8
Shots per game28.0 / 28.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 25, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 28 - 23 View
Nov 11, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 3 30 - 33 View
Mar 30, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 3 24 - 27 View
Mar 18, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 6 22 - 22 View
Jan 14, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 6 24 - 33 View
Apr 18, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 4 20 - 26 View
Mar 9, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
0 - 5 22 - 37 View
Feb 17, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 2 28 - 37 View
Jan 8, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 7 38 - 27 View
Dec 29, 2022
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 4 22 - 39 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.