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Vancouver Canucks vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 1, 2026

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 1, 2026.

December 1, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Vancouver Canucks

2-10-1

37.0%
at
Home

Washington Capitals

6-4-0

63.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Washington Capitals at 63.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vancouver Canucks logo
Away team

Vancouver Canucks

37.0%
Fair American +170
Fair decimal 2.7
Calculate value
Washington Capitals logo
Home team

Washington Capitals

63.0%
Fair American -170
Fair decimal 1.59
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 1, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

89:40 together · 10 games

xG share33.0%
Corsi for / against
62 / 102
Fenwick for / against
41 / 78
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
34.5%
xG for / against
2.98 / 6.05
All observed combinations

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

41:39 together · 6 games

xG share62.6%
Corsi for / against
41 / 38
Fenwick for / against
32 / 27
Corsi share
51.9%
Fenwick share
54.2%
xG for / against
2.56 / 1.53
Defense pair

87:35 together · 10 games

xG share48.6%
Corsi for / against
78 / 105
Fenwick for / against
61 / 80
Corsi share
42.6%
Fenwick share
43.3%
xG for / against
4.29 / 4.54
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
188
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
37.8

Charlie Lindgren

Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 24

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
79
Save %
88.6
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
25.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.09
xG against / game
4.36
xG differential / game
-2.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Washington Capitals

xG for / game
3.53
xG against / game
3.37
xG differential / game
0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
43.8
Corsi share (%)
40.6
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
47.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.8
Corsi share (%)
46.4
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
50.2
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH
5Points12
0.192Points %0.600
37Goals for34
60Goals against32
-23Goal differential2
L4Current streakW1
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH home
7Games7
1Wins5
3Points10
-15Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH
0-9-1Record6-4-0
1Points12
20Goals for34
45Goals against32
-25Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Washington Capitals WSH 5 wins
Total goals27 – 30
Goal differential -3 / +3
Goals per game2.7 / 3.0
Shots per game27.6 / 29.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 21, 2026
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 4 32 - 25 View
Oct 19, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 3 24 - 31 View
Jan 25, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 2 33 - 25 View
Jan 8, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
1 - 2 31 - 18 View
Mar 16, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 1 24 - 22 View
Feb 11, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 2 29 - 33 View
Nov 29, 2022
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 1 28 - 32 View
Oct 17, 2022
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 6 30 - 30 View
Mar 11, 2022
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 3 34 - 26 View
Jan 16, 2022
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 2 32 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VAN WSH