Away team
Vancouver Canucks
32.1%
Fair American
+212
Fair decimal
3.12
Vancouver Canucks vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 31, 2027
NHL matchup
Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 31, 2027.
March 31, 2027
· 9:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Vegas Golden Knights at 67.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Vegas Golden Knights
67.9%
Fair American
-212
Fair decimal
1.47
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 31, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 0-2
- Net units
- -2.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 1-8
- Net units
- -5.44
- ROI
- -60.4%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 90.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 7-1
- Net units
- 2.89
- ROI
- 36.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.61
- ROI
- 61.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 8-1
- Net units
- 3.25
- ROI
- 36.2%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vancouver Canucks
Expected starter unavailable.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Leevi Meriläinen
Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 15
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 150
- Save %
- 92.7
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 34.0
Carter Hart
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 15
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 32.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vancouver Canucks
- xG for / game
- 2.47
- xG against / game
- 3.88
- xG differential / game
- -1.41
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.65
- xG against / game
- 2.56
- xG differential / game
- 1.09
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent usage
Combinations to know
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vancouver Canucks
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsVegas Golden Knights
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vancouver Canucks
9 / 9 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 47.1
- Attempt share
- 43.2
- Faceoff win %
- 47.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.89
Shots / game: 21.9 · Shooting: 14.2% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft
Vegas Golden Knights
9 / 9 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.3
- Attempt share
- 53.9
- Faceoff win %
- 51.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.56
Shots / game: 31.0 · Shooting: 12.5% · Avg distance: 31.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VAN
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Points | 16 |
| 0.250 | Points % | 0.800 |
| 30 | Goals for | 42 |
| 45 | Goals against | 24 |
| -15 | Goal differential | 18 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
VAN road
|
Metric |
VGK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Points | 10 |
| -15 | Goal differential | 12 |
Last 10 games
|
VAN
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 8-2-0 |
| 5 | Points | 16 |
| 30 | Goals for | 42 |
| 45 | Goals against | 24 |
| -15 | Goal differential | 18 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VAN
1 wins
10
games reviewed
VGK
9 wins
Total goals19 – 36
Goal differential
-17
/
+17
Goals per game1.9 / 3.6
Shots per game23.0 / 29.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 20 | View |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
2 - 1 | 28 - 11 | View |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 4 | 24 - 34 | View |
| Feb 4, 2026 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 5 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Apr 16, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
4 - 1 | 31 - 17 | View |
| Apr 6, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
3 - 2 | 35 - 21 | View |
| Feb 22, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 3 | 34 - 35 | View |
| Dec 19, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 3 | 20 - 21 | View |
| Apr 8, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
3 - 4 | 23 - 30 | View |
| Apr 2, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 6 | 30 - 30 | View |