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Vancouver Canucks vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2026

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 28, 2026.

February 28, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

77:20 together · 9 games

xG share50.0%
Corsi for / against
80 / 61
Fenwick for / against
56 / 44
Corsi share
56.7%
Fenwick share
56.0%
xG for / against
3.31 / 3.31
Defense pair

109:01 together · 10 games

xG share41.6%
Corsi for / against
97 / 112
Fenwick for / against
74 / 79
Corsi share
46.4%
Fenwick share
48.4%
xG for / against
5.04 / 7.08
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

107:15 together · 10 games

xG share52.7%
Corsi for / against
94 / 93
Fenwick for / against
67 / 68
Corsi share
50.3%
Fenwick share
49.6%
xG for / against
4.79 / 4.29
Defense pair

133:55 together · 10 games

xG share52.2%
Corsi for / against
117 / 129
Fenwick for / against
92 / 91
Corsi share
47.6%
Fenwick share
50.3%
xG for / against
5.29 / 4.84
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Nikita Tolopilo

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Feb 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
163
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
33.1

Philipp Grubauer

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Feb 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
137
Save %
90.5
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
33.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.86
xG against / game
3.65
xG differential / game
-0.78

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.53
xG against / game
3.09
xG differential / game
-0.57

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.1
Corsi share (%)
45.7
Fenwick share (%)
45.8
Faceoff win %
49.7
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
49.5
Corsi share (%)
44.4
Fenwick share (%)
45.3
Faceoff win %
50.5
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 23.6 · Shooting: 13.1% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
5Points15
0.192Points %0.625
37Goals for45
60Goals against42
-23Goal differential3
L4Current streakL1
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
7Games5
1Wins3
3Points6
-15Goal differential0
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
0-9-1Record6-3-1
1Points13
20Goals for38
45Goals against38
-25Goal differential0
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 7 wins
Total goals29 – 40
Goal differential -11 / +11
Goals per game2.9 / 4.0
Shots per game23.6 / 27.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 2, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 3 28 - 23 View
Dec 29, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 24 - 39 View
Apr 2, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 0 19 - 24 View
Mar 1, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 6 31 - 24 View
Jan 2, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 3 22 - 27 View
Dec 28, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 4 29 - 22 View
Feb 22, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 5 21 - 31 View
Nov 24, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 1 27 - 24 View
Nov 18, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 3 26 - 24 View
Apr 4, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 2 28 - 18 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.