Away team
Vancouver Canucks
40.4%
Fair American
+148
Fair decimal
2.48
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 29, 2026
NHL matchup
Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 29, 2026.
October 29, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
San Jose Sharks at 59.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
San Jose Sharks
59.6%
Fair American
-148
Fair decimal
1.68
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 29, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 13
- Record
- 2-11
- Net units
- -6.64
- ROI
- -51.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 90.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.45
- ROI
- 11.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- 0.66
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.89
- ROI
- 89.3%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:33 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 43 / 67
- Fenwick for / against
- 33 / 45
- Corsi share
- 39.1%
- Fenwick share
- 42.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.84 / 3.47
Defense pair
93:51 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 67 / 100
- Fenwick for / against
- 42 / 80
- Corsi share
- 40.1%
- Fenwick share
- 34.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.96 / 5.92
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
63:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 36
- Corsi share
- 59.8%
- Fenwick share
- 62.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.69 / 2.73
Defense pair
128:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 95
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 45.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 5.46
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vancouver Canucks
Leevi Meriläinen
57.9%
Other eligible goalies
- Kevin Lankinen42.1%
Why Leevi Meriläinen?
Top five influences
Raises the scoreLowers the score
Prev save pct
-0.585
Team win pct before
+0.523
Won previous appearance
+0.408
Started last game
-0.272
Goalie win pct before
-0.260
About these predictions
Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.
SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.
Updated Oct 28, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time
San Jose Sharks
Yaroslav Askarov
67.5%
Other eligible goalies
- Alex Nedeljkovic32.5%
Why Yaroslav Askarov?
Top five influences
Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.564
Started last game
-0.352
Prev save pct
+0.343
Won previous appearance
-0.196
Team win pct before
+0.129
About these predictions
Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.
SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.
Updated Oct 28, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Leevi Meriläinen
Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 177
- Save %
- 88.7
- Goals allowed
- 20
- Close-range shots %
- 35.6
Yaroslav Askarov
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 158
- Save %
- 91.8
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 35.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vancouver Canucks
- xG for / game
- 2.41
- xG against / game
- 4.17
- xG differential / game
- -1.76
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 3.07
- xG against / game
- 3.93
- xG differential / game
- -0.86
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 46.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 42.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 41.1
- Faceoff win %
- 45.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 20.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.9
- Faceoff win %
- 48.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VAN
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Points | 13 |
| 0.250 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 43 | Goals for | 37 |
| 65 | Goals against | 45 |
| -22 | Goal differential | -8 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
VAN road
|
Metric |
SJS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games | 5 |
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Points | 4 |
| -14 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
VAN
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 1-8-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 3 | Points | 9 |
| 24 | Goals for | 28 |
| 47 | Goals against | 33 |
| -23 | Goal differential | -5 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VAN
6 wins
10
games reviewed
SJS
4 wins
Total goals32 – 32
Goal differential
0
/
0
Goals per game3.2 / 3.2
Shots per game29.9 / 27.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 3 | 41 - 31 | View |
| Jan 27, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
5 - 2 | 33 - 25 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
6 - 3 | 37 - 27 | View |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 3 | 34 - 24 | View |
| Apr 14, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 2 | 16 - 37 | View |
| Feb 6, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 1 | 24 - 34 | View |
| Dec 23, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 24 | View |
| Nov 2, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 23 | View |
| Dec 23, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
4 - 7 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Nov 25, 2023 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 22 | View |