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Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 11, 2026

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 11, 2026.

April 11, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

59:03 together · 10 games

xG share28.7%
Corsi for / against
41 / 57
Fenwick for / against
21 / 43
Corsi share
41.8%
Fenwick share
32.8%
xG for / against
1.33 / 3.31
Defense pair

139:18 together · 10 games

xG share43.5%
Corsi for / against
139 / 120
Fenwick for / against
93 / 97
Corsi share
53.7%
Fenwick share
48.9%
xG for / against
5.38 / 6.99
All observed combinations

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

127:52 together · 9 games

xG share54.8%
Corsi for / against
130 / 108
Fenwick for / against
88 / 77
Corsi share
54.6%
Fenwick share
53.3%
xG for / against
5.05 / 4.15
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Nikita Tolopilo

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Apr 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
84.4
Goals allowed
20
Close-range shots %
33.6

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Apr 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
86.3
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
27.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.35
xG against / game
3.26
xG differential / game
-0.91

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.44
xG against / game
2.77
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.0
Corsi share (%)
46.3
Fenwick share (%)
45.8
Faceoff win %
50.4
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 24.0 · Shooting: 10.4% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.1
Corsi share (%)
51.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.7
Faceoff win %
51.1
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
7Points13
0.250Points %0.500
43Goals for37
65Goals against45
-22Goal differential-8
W1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS home
8Games5
2Wins2
5Points4
-14Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
1-8-1Record4-5-1
3Points9
24Goals for28
47Goals against33
-23Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 6 wins
10 games reviewed
San Jose Sharks SJS 4 wins
Total goals31 – 30
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.1 / 3.0
Shots per game29.5 / 27.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 27, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 2 33 - 25 View
Dec 27, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
6 - 3 37 - 27 View
Nov 28, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 3 34 - 24 View
Apr 14, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 2 16 - 37 View
Feb 6, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 1 24 - 34 View
Dec 23, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 4 29 - 24 View
Nov 2, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 2 28 - 23 View
Dec 23, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 7 25 - 26 View
Nov 25, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 4 33 - 22 View
Nov 20, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 3 28 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.