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Vancouver Canucks vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2027

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 23, 2027.

January 23, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Vancouver Canucks

2-10-1

35.6%
at
Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

5-6-1

64.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Pittsburgh Penguins at 64.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vancouver Canucks logo
Away team

Vancouver Canucks

35.6%
Fair American +181
Fair decimal 2.81
Calculate value
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Home team

Pittsburgh Penguins

64.4%
Fair American -181
Fair decimal 1.55
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 23, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

89:40 together · 10 games

xG share33.0%
Corsi for / against
62 / 102
Fenwick for / against
41 / 78
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
34.5%
xG for / against
2.98 / 6.05
All observed combinations

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

62:36 together · 7 games

xG share45.1%
Corsi for / against
62 / 60
Fenwick for / against
44 / 50
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
46.8%
xG for / against
3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair

83:42 together · 10 games

xG share41.7%
Corsi for / against
96 / 88
Fenwick for / against
70 / 70
Corsi share
52.2%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
3.95 / 5.54
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
188
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
37.8

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
90.6
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
32.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.09
xG against / game
4.36
xG differential / game
-2.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.15
xG against / game
3.33
xG differential / game
-0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
43.8
Corsi share (%)
40.6
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
47.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.9
Corsi share (%)
50.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
46.6
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
5Points11
0.192Points %0.458
37Goals for40
60Goals against40
-23Goal differential0
L4Current streakW2
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
7Games5
1Wins4
3Points8
-15Goal differential6
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
0-9-1Record3-6-1
1Points7
20Goals for27
45Goals against35
-25Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 7 wins
Total goals29 – 37
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.9 / 3.7
Shots per game29.6 / 32.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 25, 2026
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 25 - 32 View
Oct 21, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 5 24 - 26 View
Nov 27, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 5 29 - 23 View
Oct 26, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 4 24 - 34 View
Feb 27, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 3 40 - 35 View
Jan 11, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 29 - 35 View
Jan 10, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 5 24 - 36 View
Oct 28, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 5 35 - 29 View
Dec 4, 2021
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 1 44 - 23 View
Nov 24, 2021
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 4 37 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VAN PIT