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Vancouver Canucks vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 13, 2026

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 13, 2026.

January 13, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

46:40 together · 8 games

xG share66.6%
Corsi for / against
57 / 29
Fenwick for / against
45 / 18
Corsi share
66.3%
Fenwick share
71.4%
xG for / against
2.24 / 1.12
Defense pair

77:41 together · 9 games

xG share48.1%
Corsi for / against
88 / 55
Fenwick for / against
60 / 41
Corsi share
61.5%
Fenwick share
59.4%
xG for / against
3.49 / 3.77
All observed combinations

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

49:18 together · 7 games

xG share62.0%
Corsi for / against
56 / 45
Fenwick for / against
39 / 31
Corsi share
55.4%
Fenwick share
55.7%
xG for / against
2.52 / 1.54
Defense pair

118:27 together · 10 games

xG share50.5%
Corsi for / against
110 / 87
Fenwick for / against
74 / 63
Corsi share
55.8%
Fenwick share
54.0%
xG for / against
4.42 / 4.34
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Nikita Tolopilo

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Jan 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
89.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
35.2

Leevi Meriläinen

Ottawa Senators · Last start: Jan 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
92
Save %
84.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
22.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
3.15
xG against / game
3.71
xG differential / game
-0.56

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Ottawa Senators

xG for / game
3.21
xG against / game
2.45
xG differential / game
0.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
66.8
Corsi share (%)
53.6
Fenwick share (%)
51.3
Faceoff win %
47.7
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 28.2 · Shooting: 7.8% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.7
Corsi share (%)
54.4
Fenwick share (%)
55.3
Faceoff win %
52.1
Penalties / game
5.8

Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
5Points16
0.192Points %0.667
37Goals for38
60Goals against34
-23Goal differential4
L4Current streakW1
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT home
7Games7
1Wins5
3Points10
-15Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
0-9-1Record6-4-0
1Points12
20Goals for31
45Goals against31
-25Goal differential0
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Ottawa Senators OTT 4 wins
Total goals43 – 33
Goal differential +10 / -10
Goals per game4.3 / 3.3
Shots per game26.6 / 29.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 21, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 4 22 - 25 View
Nov 23, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
4 - 3 21 - 29 View
Jan 2, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 6 38 - 26 View
Nov 9, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
5 - 2 16 - 30 View
Mar 11, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 5 20 - 30 View
Nov 8, 2022
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
6 - 4 28 - 41 View
Apr 19, 2022
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 3 31 - 37 View
Dec 1, 2021
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
6 - 2 35 - 21 View
Apr 28, 2021
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
3 - 6 22 - 33 View
Apr 26, 2021
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
1 - 2 26 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.