Away team
Vancouver Canucks
35.8%
Fair American
+179
Fair decimal
2.79
Vancouver Canucks vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 25, 2026
NHL matchup
Vancouver Canucks at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 25, 2026.
November 25, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Detroit Red Wings at 64.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Detroit Red Wings
64.2%
Fair American
-179
Fair decimal
1.56
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 25, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 1-11
- Net units
- -8.44
- ROI
- -70.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.91
- ROI
- 90.9%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -0.98
- ROI
- -14.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- -1.97
- ROI
- -21.8%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:32 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 43 / 67
- Fenwick for / against
- 33 / 45
- Corsi share
- 39.1%
- Fenwick share
- 42.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.84 / 3.47
Defense pair
89:40 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 41 / 78
- Corsi share
- 37.8%
- Fenwick share
- 34.5%
- xG for / against
- 2.98 / 6.05
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
74:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 89 / 63
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 46
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.23 / 3.44
Defense pair
112:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 115 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 60
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.84 / 3.62
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Vancouver Canucks
Expected starter unavailable.
Detroit Red Wings
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Leevi Meriläinen
Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 188
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 37.8
Michal Postava
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 36
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 27.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vancouver Canucks
- xG for / game
- 2.09
- xG against / game
- 4.36
- xG differential / game
- -2.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.35
- xG against / game
- 3.16
- xG differential / game
- 0.20
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 43.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 40.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 39.1
- Faceoff win %
- 47.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VAN
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Points | 13 |
| 0.192 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 37 | Goals for | 33 |
| 60 | Goals against | 37 |
| -23 | Goal differential | -4 |
| L4 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
VAN road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| -15 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
VAN
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 0-9-1 | Record | 5-2-3 |
| 1 | Points | 13 |
| 20 | Goals for | 31 |
| 45 | Goals against | 32 |
| -25 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VAN
2 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
8 wins
Total goals20 – 38
Goal differential
-18
/
+18
Goals per game2.0 / 3.8
Shots per game29.4 / 26.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
5 - 2 | 31 - 13 | View |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
1 - 5 | 24 - 25 | View |
| Dec 8, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
4 - 0 | 20 - 39 | View |
| Feb 2, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
3 - 2 | 18 - 27 | View |
| Dec 1, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 4 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Feb 15, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 4 | 28 - 21 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 4 | 31 - 28 | View |
| Feb 13, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
6 - 1 | 23 - 30 | View |
| Feb 11, 2023 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 5 | 34 - 25 | View |
| Mar 17, 2022 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 0 | 35 - 43 | View |